Market · 18 of 35 outcomes
Will Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 295 | 0.0¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 268 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 113 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 94 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 63 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 48 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 36 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 32 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| asfui8j90x9771…605e | Yes | 20 | 12.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 17 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 17 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 10 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 3 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.