Market · 42 of 43 outcomes
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 440,711 | 0.7¢ | $220 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 323,297 | 0.1¢ | $162 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $160 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 303,649 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| frogers0xa348…5965 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 126,033 | 0.4¢ | $63 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 121,130 | 0.7¢ | $61 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| ee56db120xf345…5cc9 | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 104,510 | 0.2¢ | $52 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 88,248 | 0.5¢ | $44 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,306 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 86,140 | 0.8¢ | $43 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 67,401 | 0.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 49,340 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $20 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 39,338 | 0.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.2¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| drtyu64110x98b2…0c12 | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 7G-MAN0x6c97…988c | Yes | 28,778 | 0.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.3¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Skylar84310x7be2…c81a | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| dodged-a-bullet0xc288…3480 | Yes | 14,500 | 0.5¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.97 per $100 · 1,683 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 12,551 | 0.0¢ | $6 | New0 settled bets |
| JasonGraham3660xcdfe…a26d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| era050xd072…c3c2 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| nikkoo0x7946…b82c | Yes | 10,060 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,898 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8,041 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 7,854 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 7,450 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 5,870 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,671 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | Yes | 5,580 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| 2520x224b…f6b8 | Yes | 5,032 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 4,137 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x2d89…ac9e | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | New28 settled bets |
| 0x4bd4…91ab | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 3,649 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 3,330 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 59,740 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| McLovinnnnn0x4975…7e40 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| BigFishSushiChief0x9b9f…a26a | Yes | 2,811 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 1,014 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.