Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 700 | 1.4¢ | $350 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,357 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 390 | 34.9¢ | $195 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 300 | 59.0¢ | $150 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,126 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 264 | 62.0¢ | $132 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | No | 72 | 44.0¢ | $36 | — |
| doddo120x130d…3615 | Yes | 58 | 64.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 7.62guy0xca3a…b9c6 | Yes | 57 | 54.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 56 | 61.0¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 52 | 1.3¢ | $26 | — |
| Hhtsd760x2001…422f | Yes | 45 | 56.0¢ | $23 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 38 | 50.1¢ | $19 | — |
| JuanitoBalderrama0x6b9d…68db | Yes | 37 | 55.0¢ | $19 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 30 | 45.3¢ | $15 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 27 | 48.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| DashiellRavenor0xe392…4de9 | Yes | 24 | 55.0¢ | $12 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 19 | 57.0¢ | $10 | — |
| thcarrasc820xa71b…f36f | Yes | 19 | 0.0¢ | $9 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 17 | 66.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| xfcgv0x97b8…3a8a | Yes | 13 | 56.0¢ | $6 | — |
| HadrianRaven0x5859…1dd8 | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AldenVeyra0xb46e…6712 | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x10cc…42e6 | Yes | 9 | 55.0¢ | $5 | — |
| aryuvvik0xa40a…5828 | Yes | 9 | 55.0¢ | $5 | — |
| DPredictions20500xd625…4d7c | Yes | 9 | 0.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd7df…e3ba | Yes | 7 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 5 | 40.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| kinger00210x6200…be04 | Yes | 5 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| prjjfb340xfd99…b908 | No | 4 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | No | 4 | 29.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 47.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xf05e…2547 | Yes | 2 | 51.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x50c9…dec1 | Yes | 2 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| magodeluz0x2cba…1a9d | Yes | 2 | 54.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nemirovskii0x34e5…5a43 | Yes | 2 | 54.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kageri0x053f…1c5c | Yes | 2 | 56.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 21 shares each side · Show
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US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.