Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 18,651 | 1.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$8.04 per $100 · 18,979 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 12,280 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,570 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11,446 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 87,956 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 10,903 | 1.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,513 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 7,343 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.02 per $100 · 7,995 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 7,259 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,915+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.