Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 110.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 57 | 98.0¢ | $56 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 75 |
| 0.1¢ |
| $0 |
| Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 59 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 56 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,473+ bets · updating |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |