Market · 1 of 16 outcomes
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 336 | 36.0¢ | $144 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,473+ bets · updating |
| qjilala0x2bc0…4a48 | Yes | 148 | 28.0¢ | $64 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be |
| No |
| 60 |
| 74.0¢ |
| $34 |
| Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 40 | 74.0¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 72.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | No | 20 | 71.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 9,653 bets |
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 110.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.