Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will Dominique de Villepin win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 133 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 26 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 25 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| huy670x3ef6…1091 | Yes | 21 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 110.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.