Market · 10 of 16 outcomes
Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 57 | 98.0¢ | $56 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 75 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 59 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 56 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 37 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 23 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | Yes | 19 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 16 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 13 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.88 per $100 · 955 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 11 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.08 per $100 · 12,149 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| 0x35f7…c68a | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 83,241 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.