Market · 27 of 53 outcomes
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 1,273,507 | 0.2¢ | $2.55K | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| OleBobbyBobBob0xc5b9…9687 | Yes | 168,000 | 0.2¢ | $336 | — |
| smoltrader0x17e5…3d19 | Yes | 162,827 | 0.4¢ | $326 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 8,571 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 141,793 | 0.7¢ | $284 | Losing−$1.23 per $100 · 16,076 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 106,550 | 0.4¢ | $213 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| reid990x07ee…8dfe | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $200 | — |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $200 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.4¢ | $200 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 93,080 | 0.8¢ | $186 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $140 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 60,201 | 0.5¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 5,656 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 60,000 | 0.1¢ | $120 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $100 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 47,470 | 0.8¢ | $95 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| carriewalters0x1af2…30b3 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 45,000 | 0.4¢ | $90 | — |
| bradleyjason0x7c67…d5a4 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | Yes | 40,000 | 0.0¢ | $80 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 35,337 | 0.8¢ | $71 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| Prexpect0xa59c…bb62 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.4¢ | $70 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 4,078 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $60 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 28,104 | 0.7¢ | $56 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.5¢ | $50 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 23,500 | 0.4¢ | $47 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 20,338 | 0.7¢ | $41 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 19,849 | 0.4¢ | $40 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $38 | New40 settled bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.4¢ | $30 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,750 | 0.6¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,859 | 0.8¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 11,366 | 0.8¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,346 | 0.6¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 10,150 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $20 | — |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 9,326 | 0.5¢ | $19 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 8,724 | 0.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 7,500 | 0.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,814 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 7,110 | 0.5¢ | $14 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 6,130 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,001 | 0.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$2.58 per $100 · 30,054+ bets · updating |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 5,210 | 0.2¢ | $10 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 4,294 | 0.4¢ | $9 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| fireponbabylon0xa667…84fe | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.51 per $100 · 1,399 bets |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 3,862 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 3,616 | 0.5¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.