Market · 22 of 53 outcomes
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 1,625,509 | 0.8¢ | $5.69K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 356,613 | 0.6¢ | $1.25K | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| coolcools0xfb08…ee59 | No | 1,000 | 99.2¢ | $997 | — |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 137,900 | 0.5¢ | $483 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| KEStrategies0x5cf6…8efa | Yes | 97,341 | 0.7¢ | $341 | New2 settled bets |
| TedforPrez290x33ce…fcc0 | Yes | 83,333 | 0.9¢ | $292 | New12 settled bets |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | Yes | 80,000 | 0.5¢ | $280 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $244 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| Stephanieascaa0x650e…038d | No | 216 | 99.6¢ | $215 | New27 settled bets |
| Samuel09980x44d2…ffb9 | No | 203 | 99.6¢ | $202 | New31 settled bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 57,470 | 0.8¢ | $201 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| JulianGrove0xe4ab…0ef2 | No | 202 | 99.6¢ | $201 | — |
| Leah66660x5527…c4b0 | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $200 | New34 settled bets |
| DonnieBannon0xf5c8…430c | Yes | 50,991 | 0.4¢ | $178 | — |
| 0x73c7…b175 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.6¢ | $175 | New87 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 39,469 | 0.7¢ | $138 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,296 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 35,404 | 0.4¢ | $124 | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 34,590 | 0.8¢ | $121 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| HaldenPort0xd146…e00d | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 29,870 | 0.5¢ | $105 | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 26,487 | 0.5¢ | $93 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.8¢ | $88 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| ArcticHowl0x4d69…56c2 | No | 86 | 99.1¢ | $85 | New30 settled bets |
| jeffreybenitez0xcee7…8775 | No | 84 | 99.7¢ | $84 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.3¢ | $70 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 19,462 | 0.8¢ | $68 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $67 | New41 settled bets |
| donnacarpenter0x5c0b…c928 | No | 63 | 99.7¢ | $63 | New97 settled bets |
| vcxbhyty0x94b8…ac2b | No | 57 | 99.5¢ | $56 | — |
| JOKOLO0x7208…b9f4 | No | 53 | 99.0¢ | $52 | New58 settled bets |
| otarel0x515c…fd9d | No | 52 | 99.0¢ | $51 | New58 settled bets |
| csgtrs0xe8fd…b992 | No | 51 | 99.5¢ | $51 | — |
| fngbdfg0x9aa5…932c | No | 51 | 99.7¢ | $50 | — |
| gtjytjy0xa392…68bb | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 14,207 | 0.5¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| michaellawrence0xec25…4a85 | No | 48 | 99.7¢ | $48 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,759 | 0.8¢ | $45 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| gfdhed0x7ac3…81c4 | No | 43 | 99.5¢ | $43 | New10 settled bets |
| xhdhtf0xd381…15d2 | No | 41 | 99.5¢ | $41 | — |
| iyfgcg0x9e67…c09f | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| baosan0xe536…266d | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| ganyan0xadc5…b728 | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 11,419 | 0.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,266 | 0.6¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| vxenur0xe0dc…1904 | No | 39 | 99.7¢ | $39 | — |
| gfjdhtdh0x67f1…7aa3 | No | 38 | 99.5¢ | $38 | New9 settled bets |
| fjfhdfgd0xc0c8…3da6 | No | 38 | 99.7¢ | $38 | — |
| rdryur0x6369…bb62 | No | 38 | 99.5¢ | $38 | New10 settled bets |
| hfhtdgd0x4081…0a9e | No | 38 | 99.5¢ | $38 | New10 settled bets |
| hdrgesgr0x2cbf…35b4 | No | 37 | 99.5¢ | $36 | New10 settled bets |
| kgyfjt0x7b8c…4e5f | No | 36 | 99.5¢ | $35 | New10 settled bets |
| wakage0x9997…cb85 | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| bbom0x7237…9a27 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $35 | New22 settled bets |
| Ali1231230x7b17…5246 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $35 | New46 settled bets |
| 72030xa749…6a65 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.9¢ | $35 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $35 | — |
| jialing0xf932…2dfb | No | 33 | 99.5¢ | $33 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 9,000 | 0.7¢ | $32 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 9,000 | 0.8¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| fdsshtsh0xc8d1…0a2e | No | 32 | 99.5¢ | $31 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 8,962 | 0.4¢ | $31 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| suoacia0xf878…825f | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 6,862 | 0.7¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $23 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0x289f…a639 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.5¢ | $21 | New4 settled bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 5,630 | 0.7¢ | $20 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| goat170x5d92…8e9d | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 253 bets |
| jesus-effing-christ0x4f8d…c7ca | Yes | 5,363 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$14.44 per $100 · 146 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,347 | 0.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 5,010 | 0.6¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,004 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| enaich0x69d2…8c2f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 191 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 156p0xc0d5…5a2a | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x2456…995c | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | New27 settled bets |
| fdddrrccffgg55660x6530…b9c6 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | New62 settled bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 4,294 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| fdhfgh0x4392…9eae | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | New84 settled bets |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.84 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 0x410c…7e15 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x462e…0241 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | New19 settled bets |
| 0xbac3…40bb | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x447d…1b46 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | New20 settled bets |
| 388bc50xaf38…4fb8 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb931…92cd | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x2e36…7a75 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | New19 settled bets |
| 0xcd7d…02e1 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x5a2e…7fc6 | Yes | 3,609 | 0.9¢ | $13 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x8445…e729 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | New22 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 3,550 | 0.9¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $12 | New65 settled bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.3K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.