Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 703 | 80.5¢ | $668 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| qwwzdyj0x120b…5311 | Yes | 310 | 93.6¢ | $295 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 |
| Yes |
| 85 |
| 60.0¢ |
| $81 |
| — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 49 | 91.0¢ | $47 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | Yes | 42 | 61.0¢ | $40 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 419 | 11.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$14.85 per $100 · 244 bets |
These 4 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.