Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will Liang Wen-tao win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 90 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| ghostpeople30xf7ae…97e6 | Yes | 66 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 40 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 34 | 11.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 9 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.