Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will Yang Cheng-wu win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 140 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 45 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 21 | 10.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 19 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 101.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.