Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will Li Wen-liang win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 168 | 11.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 62 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| 0x3a2b…3874 | No | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 12.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.