Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 703 | 80.5¢ | $668 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| qwwzdyj0x120b…5311 | Yes | 310 | 93.6¢ | $295 | — |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Yes | 85 | 60.0¢ | $81 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 49 | 91.0¢ | $47 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | Yes | 42 | 61.0¢ | $40 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 419 | 11.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 15 | 83.0¢ | $14 | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 15 | 87.5¢ | $14 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 13 | 95.2¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 160 | 6.2¢ | $8 | — |
| lekkerweer0xa200…27b0 | Yes | 7 | 83.6¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 128 | 14.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 6 | 85.5¢ | $6 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 58 | 9.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 52 | 7.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 45 | 6.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 27 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 20 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 20 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 10 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xec17…0af9 | Yes | 0 | 84.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 417 bets |
| J255250x7e80…631b | No | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.