Market · 21 of 43 outcomes
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 440,711 | 0.7¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 340,576 | 0.2¢ | $851 | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $798 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 303,649 | 0.4¢ | $759 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 200,000 | 0.3¢ | $500 | New6 settled bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 143,303 | 0.4¢ | $358 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 88,248 | 0.5¢ | $221 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,306 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 81,000 | 0.3¢ | $203 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| Mary5550x9049…641a | No | 201 | 99.8¢ | $201 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 67,401 | 0.7¢ | $169 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $125 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 49,449 | 0.4¢ | $124 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 49,340 | 0.7¢ | $123 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $100 | — |
| tiffany190xab1d…e29b | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| guerrerobradley0xcdc4…e602 | No | 91 | 99.8¢ | $91 | — |
| leonrodriguez0x574a…4127 | No | 82 | 99.8¢ | $82 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 30,100 | 0.5¢ | $75 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 7G-MAN0x6c97…988c | Yes | 28,778 | 0.0¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 28,281 | 0.7¢ | $71 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| gabrielleking0xe187…997c | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | — |
| abacaxi0xc0ff…136b | Yes | 25,962 | 0.4¢ | $65 | Positive+$21.38 per $100 · 49,782+ bets · updating |
| vnetretwr0x7044…d9d8 | No | 64 | 99.8¢ | $64 | — |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.3¢ | $57 | Proven+$4.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $50 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| grsgdg0x01f7…4d28 | No | 46 | 99.8¢ | $45 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $42 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 538587bghy0x6a5f…9351 | No | 42 | 99.8¢ | $41 | — |
| qwprenyf0x9ccf…257a | No | 38 | 99.8¢ | $38 | — |
| hytiud0x5b0b…64a5 | No | 37 | 99.8¢ | $37 | — |
| dodged-a-bullet0xc288…3480 | Yes | 14,500 | 0.5¢ | $36 | Positive+$5.97 per $100 · 1,683 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $32 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 12,551 | 0.0¢ | $31 | New0 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 11,150 | 0.2¢ | $28 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.4¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $26 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,898 | 0.8¢ | $22 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8,041 | 0.8¢ | $20 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 7,854 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 7,450 | 0.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0086020x295b…d2bf | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | New87 settled bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 5,870 | 0.4¢ | $15 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,671 | 0.6¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | Yes | 5,580 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| 2520x224b…f6b8 | Yes | 4,460 | 0.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 4,137 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 3,649 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| AlexanderBrewer1490xa745…5a08 | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $8 | — |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 3,330 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 59,740 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| McLovinnnnn0x4975…7e40 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | — |
| BigFishSushiChief0x9b9f…a26a | Yes | 2,811 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 1,014 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,589 | 0.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| Ruby93930xfa8b…34b2 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| Calibrator0x14bb…882b | Yes | 2,204 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| endepen0x0a9a…ea3e | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 1,940 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Melissa22590xc492…3abe | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| hjikoi0x63b8…a54e | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| AlexandraArcher2570x7073…7276 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| JordanBrady2690x8217…7869 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Trinity71640x831d…ad8b | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| IrisYork1580x795d…2037 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.