Market · 24 of 43 outcomes
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,849,230 | 0.7¢ | $2.77K | New15 settled bets |
| dildobeginsss0x5d16…00fa | No | 1,002 | 99.8¢ | $1K | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| fdgnhghgfc0x5c7f…5c08 | No | 302 | 99.4¢ | $301 | — |
| SkillzThatKillz0xea3e…b956 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.6¢ | $150 | — |
| tiger110xe821…b27e | Yes | 84,600 | 0.8¢ | $127 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 6,036 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 76,365 | 0.4¢ | $115 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| 0xc432…c90a | No | 114 | 99.8¢ | $114 | — |
| EstrellaMangochi0xd35a…8136 | No | 108 | 99.1¢ | $108 | — |
| ginareeves0xfeb5…9e7d | No | 97 | 99.9¢ | $97 | — |
| jacobreyes0x3eb1…2976 | No | 88 | 99.9¢ | $88 | — |
| uasdf3j40xad67…8907 | No | 75 | 99.5¢ | $75 | — |
| boja350xead8…0973 | No | 70 | 99.5¢ | $70 | — |
| leesteve0x4963…eed4 | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| maniokk0x9e8b…a1d4 | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 54 | 93.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| kamikazd230x7d0b…58da | No | 53 | 99.5¢ | $52 | — |
| bennettseth0xa5c9…83dc | No | 52 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
| smailtfd30x97f7…0c0d | No | 51 | 99.4¢ | $51 | — |
| potkinos540xb8f7…48de | No | 51 | 99.4¢ | $51 | — |
| vngxhs0x5788…7e3f | No | 41 | 99.7¢ | $41 | — |
| bgtehytej0x92d9…7091 | No | 41 | 99.7¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x21667aE0x2166…44f5 | No | 40 | 99.6¢ | $40 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,955 | 0.8¢ | $39 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Taurin0x746e…6390 | No | 36 | 99.6¢ | $36 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 19,289 | 1.1¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | No | 28 | 98.3¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xcf08…4f63 | No | 25 | 99.4¢ | $25 | — |
| swelll0x06b8…9edb | No | 24 | 99.5¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x8d3d…e22a | No | 22 | 99.6¢ | $22 | — |
| SASFFF0xaf49…d13c | No | 21 | 99.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Gemdma0x0c7d…f641 | No | 16 | 99.4¢ | $16 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| 1233322340x1f61…7ea7 | No | 15 | 97.3¢ | $15 | — |
| lm3210x1eef…31fe | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| oiuujhui0x5bce…9b68 | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 9,899 | 0.2¢ | $15 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| 0x53c7…83f3 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x549d…a046 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x42e9…1c8f | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,800 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| gye5540xfa08…0639 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb2d9…5b72 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 8,378 | 0.2¢ | $13 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| 0x3c74…0f12 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xe1f1…64f5 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x42be…023e | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x2662…ffdc | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc3f2…7bb9 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xae4a…3fbb | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| ouneo0xcf97…1f3d | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| Eraos0x9544…2fff | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| sunxing0x1faf…5237 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xa20f…1f02 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| zhuyun0x2be4…411b | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x4807…8d22 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb5cc…adad | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5f70…c864 | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | — |
| hftrr0x0dd5…e2c3 | No | 10 | 98.2¢ | $10 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| 0x8046…e77b | Yes | 3,600 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc228…d701 | Yes | 3,600 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | Yes | 3,510 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 3,409 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 3,367 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 0xaa0c…7f30 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x820b…e9c2 | Yes | 3,200 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6e3d…5a54 | Yes | 3,100 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 2,925 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0x23e4…f80a | Yes | 2,855 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x961b…a84b | Yes | 2,600 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| bigstackss0x8d11…5c25 | Yes | 2,222 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | Yes | 1,828 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| 0xdfaa…05e8 | Yes | 1,818 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 1,810 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xfc7f…23f6 | Yes | 1,600 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,363 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,042 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 1,006 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| chendaozi0x7a3f…a807 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | New97 settled bets |
| iwanttoliveasimplelife0xdd32…5a56 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 962 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | 856 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 753 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 850 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| dumber0x3e7c…596c | Yes | 846 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.80 per $100 · 629 bets |
| 0xb4bc…2b7b | Yes | 833 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 800 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Vetalmon0x01e4…2d6a | Yes | 778 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 745 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| 0xe714…1b3d | Yes | 714 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 707 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| Gumster0x87b7…5133 | Yes | 667 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 657 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 125 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.