Market · 13 of 43 outcomes
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 555,484 | 0.8¢ | $1.94K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.3¢ | $1.05K | — |
| TheBigMuscle0x270a…7b78 | Yes | 261,279 | 0.3¢ | $914 | — |
| Boey0x0539…70f9 | Yes | 174,504 | 1.0¢ | $611 | Positive+$20.65 per $100 · 454 bets |
| Axe5550x37a1…dad2 | Yes | 125,693 | 1.3¢ | $440 | — |
| Rasul050xcc9e…6693 | Yes | 89,714 | 0.3¢ | $314 | — |
| f1238860x3cd7…d127 | Yes | 64,238 | 1.1¢ | $225 | — |
| 0x0a1c…efaf | Yes | 63,657 | 0.8¢ | $223 | — |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 61,817 | 1.0¢ | $216 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| Brandonbbb0x3fe9…ff8c | No | 211 | 99.7¢ | $210 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 201 | 98.8¢ | $200 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| patrickreiss0xcd3c…a801 | Yes | 55,556 | 0.9¢ | $194 | — |
| 0x2ce8…4527 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.9¢ | $175 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 779 bets |
| keks2210x7534…0955 | No | 141 | 99.2¢ | $141 | — |
| 0x7dec…fea1 | No | 111 | 99.7¢ | $111 | — |
| ojjonek230xb21c…3439 | No | 111 | 99.2¢ | $111 | — |
| utopiaff0x9d30…dcf2 | No | 111 | 99.2¢ | $110 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 30,021 | 1.2¢ | $105 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 29,999 | 0.4¢ | $105 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 29,476 | 0.8¢ | $103 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 27,222 | 0.3¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $88 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| sardyn50x81f4…7f6a | No | 86 | 99.1¢ | $85 | — |
| qwert670x00ba…8288 | No | 81 | 99.0¢ | $81 | — |
| altka120x0f66…cd5e | Yes | 22,801 | 0.9¢ | $80 | — |
| lakaro690xd5e6…428e | No | 78 | 99.1¢ | $77 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 22,000 | 0.8¢ | $77 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| hillcrystal0x14a1…a607 | No | 76 | 99.7¢ | $76 | — |
| ententa20x28a9…7ddb | No | 76 | 98.8¢ | $76 | — |
| fajny20xda00…74a2 | No | 76 | 99.2¢ | $75 | — |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 20,647 | 1.1¢ | $72 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 19,998 | 0.7¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| huskynn0x02fe…d87a | No | 70 | 98.9¢ | $70 | — |
| bankslaura0x11fa…7423 | No | 67 | 99.5¢ | $67 | — |
| heathervincent0x16f7…4992 | No | 66 | 99.7¢ | $66 | — |
| umuzyk2110xa2e0…cd34 | No | 66 | 99.1¢ | $65 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 18,304 | 0.8¢ | $64 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| rachel640xdcef…59b1 | No | 61 | 99.7¢ | $61 | — |
| greenedeborah0xb3fc…8e16 | No | 60 | 99.7¢ | $60 | — |
| karenvelasquez0xbe09…8abf | No | 58 | 99.7¢ | $58 | — |
| rtecki0xee12…fb2a | No | 56 | 99.1¢ | $55 | — |
| hulumadns0xea2e…be70 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 15,117 | 1.1¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.8¢ | $53 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| ogreene0x1dbb…0ab6 | No | 52 | 99.7¢ | $52 | — |
| OnGodNoCap0x1cca…a1c3 | Yes | 13,839 | 0.8¢ | $48 | — |
| desiree510xf91c…ddc1 | No | 46 | 99.7¢ | $46 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 12,966 | 0.9¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| Kiki2.0xe4d2…6f36 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $44 | — |
| iuufthd0x2864…09d4 | No | 42 | 99.7¢ | $42 | — |
| gtdrhyd0xeae9…c661 | No | 41 | 99.7¢ | $41 | — |
| fsjtdjth0x50e9…90f5 | No | 38 | 99.6¢ | $38 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $37 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| DannyChantom0x4baf…b22b | Yes | 10,000 | 1.2¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 9,995 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| ghtdhd0xf416…1fd9 | No | 35 | 99.7¢ | $35 | — |
| mhjugt0x30d9…5b9c | No | 34 | 99.6¢ | $33 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 7,854 | 0.4¢ | $27 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 6,250 | 0.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 53790x7874…1637 | No | 21 | 99.2¢ | $21 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 5,556 | 0.9¢ | $19 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | $18 | — |
| chickendilla0x0891…508a | Yes | 4,823 | 1.2¢ | $17 | New72 settled bets |
| 00l0x8c06…afaf | No | 16 | 98.9¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x36ab…ae42 | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 4,474 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| hjdrtyhh550x46c6…f8ee | No | 16 | 98.7¢ | $16 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 4,349 | 0.9¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| 0x20df…05d7 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 4,200 | 0.5¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| 0x75d1…fe9d | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| LowValue0x8329…96c2 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x385d…ea29 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4c2b…f046 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe02e…7f0a | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x0f87…29b5 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xe101…18ee | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| kghg0x41f6…31f0 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Macao0xa541…5e37 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xcb67…4c5d | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 53B35F0xfe12…9d79 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xcbef…4c8c | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xeafa…edc5 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xd6df…e3d3 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 3,194 | 1.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,144 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| AutumnTrades0x5dbf…b8d1 | Yes | 3,077 | 1.3¢ | $11 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,950 | 0.2¢ | $10 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 2,490 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 40kallday0x1376…b8a1 | Yes | 2,367 | 0.7¢ | $8 | — |
| sirigy230x2cd0…fb3d | Yes | 2,222 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 20 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 276 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.