Market · 71 of 71 outcomes
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 415 | 95.5¢ | $405 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 10,278 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 9 | 96.6¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 180 | 4.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| ccyy20260x4282…3455 | No | 4 | 97.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 4 | 96.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | Yes | 141 | 3.5¢ | $3 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 2 | 96.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | No | 2 | 97.6¢ | $2 | — |
| KreoAnon0xe9ce…711f | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 44 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 40 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 13 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play