Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 153 | 99.9¢ | $153 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| 0x091f…660b | No | 120 | 99.8¢ | $120 | — |
| 9666660xb4f8…aa71 | No | 114 | 99.8¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x2A8C0xb773…e531 | No | 107 | 99.8¢ | $107 | — |
| 38d1b20x16c8…aeaf | No | 104 | 99.8¢ | $104 | — |
| waaaka0x5ef1…7151 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | — |
| 5655250x89ba…30f4 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | — |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 23,705 | 0.1¢ | $36 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 22,973 | 0.2¢ | $34 | New45 settled bets |
| qing1230xfff8…9cd6 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.3¢ | $30 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 10,847 | 0.2¢ | $16 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| xiaoN0x55b5…3b82 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| diana5870x1d77…155a | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 232pp0x4f57…6b72 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| ggg440xbd73…c61c | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| tmleafs0x7a85…3c54 | Yes | 6,500 | 0.2¢ | $10 | — |
| ghjhgjk0xf54b…c3e6 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,448 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| 0xbd1a…5375 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xee8a…f0b0 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,280 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,166 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.35 per $100 · 11,119 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Uuuutzie0xeafa…5973 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 551 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 468 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 351 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 350 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| Superbigote0x7460…31e8 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 296 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 160 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 159 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 151 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 150 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 125 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 112 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 98 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 95 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 47 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 6 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 4 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 3 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E74750xb0d6…7475 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| pleasedontstopthemusic0x517f…933f | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.