Market · 7 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| luck000040xc6e9…0741 | No | 49,297 | 93.0¢ | $47.4K | New81 settled bets |
| jjjclv60x1c4f…2852 | No | 47,392 | 95.5¢ | $45.5K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 504 bets |
| MaxPowell0x353c…2af5 | No | 29,097 | 94.8¢ | $28K | New50 settled bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 15,451 | 94.1¢ | $14.8K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 12,800 | 95.1¢ | $12.3K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 789 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 6,395 | 94.0¢ | $6.15K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,268 bets |
| lingke0xb2dc…2bf2 | No | 6,289 | 95.6¢ | $6.04K | — |
| magcidwa0xb9fe…f33a | No | 6,289 | 95.6¢ | $6.04K | — |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | Yes | 150,321 | 6.7¢ | $5.86K | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 5,135 | 94.8¢ | $4.93K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 93.1¢ | $4.8K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 4,296 | 93.3¢ | $4.13K | New98 settled bets |
| Lolololol0xa745…8ca6 | No | 3,996 | 95.1¢ | $3.84K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 236 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | No | 2,500 | 94.1¢ | $2.4K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 54,008 | 7.1¢ | $2.11K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 2,046 | 95.4¢ | $1.97K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 1,300 | 95.6¢ | $1.25K | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| 0x2e1c…db61 | No | 1,227 | 93.5¢ | $1.18K | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 359 bets |
| zhuo1an90xeff3…4e66 | No | 1,181 | 0.0¢ | $1.13K | New70 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,174 | 93.4¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| Ym777Ym0x66ca…532d | No | 1,000 | 93.9¢ | $961 | New23 settled bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 1,000 | 94.4¢ | $961 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| HEBI550xd4cb…ecb7 | No | 1,000 | 94.0¢ | $961 | — |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 1,000 | 93.7¢ | $961 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 711 bets |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 916 | 93.9¢ | $881 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 900 | 95.4¢ | $865 | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 636 | 94.2¢ | $611 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | No | 598 | 93.6¢ | $574 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| jack-co0x688e…7cb3 | No | 567 | 93.0¢ | $545 | New22 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 566 | 92.9¢ | $543 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,034 bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | No | 557 | 93.9¢ | $536 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| Pingpongi0xc9d4…a3d5 | No | 500 | 94.0¢ | $481 | — |
| depresssin0xcc77…c035 | No | 479 | 95.7¢ | $461 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,934 bets |
| mitchyy0xcb98…1960 | No | 453 | 93.7¢ | $435 | — |
| solosers0xc4db…4519 | No | 350 | 94.2¢ | $336 | — |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 345 | 93.6¢ | $332 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 301 | 94.7¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 300 | 94.6¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 300 | 95.2¢ | $288 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| deficiii0x7250…5468 | No | 252 | 94.7¢ | $242 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 936 bets |
| UnderwriterGCR0x771d…440e | No | 250 | 95.9¢ | $240 | Positive+$1.79 per $100 · 414 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 244 | 93.7¢ | $235 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 243 | 93.8¢ | $234 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 230 | 93.4¢ | $221 | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 1,494 bets |
| Dr.mett0xe0dc…3944 | No | 225 | 94.2¢ | $216 | — |
| LeopoldAschenbooger0x929a…8cf0 | Yes | 5,348 | 6.7¢ | $209 | — |
| 0xf7e2…ad3a | No | 215 | 93.3¢ | $207 | — |
| bk20xb2ed…d5fc | No | 212 | 94.6¢ | $204 | — |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | No | 190 | 94.9¢ | $183 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 755 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 186 | 94.1¢ | $179 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 166 | 93.9¢ | $160 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| xinyuan0x52ee…2f52 | No | 152 | 94.4¢ | $146 | New55 settled bets |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | 150 | 94.6¢ | $144 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 326 bets |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 3,242 | 6.2¢ | $126 | Proven+$9.93 per $100 · 326 bets |
| 0x4378…b236 | Yes | 954 | 7.3¢ | $37 | New1 settled bet |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 469 | 5.9¢ | $18 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| kellyyan0x8071…9486 | Yes | 403 | 7.7¢ | $16 | New10 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 393 | 6.5¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| vaicoolrents0x8d24…2af6 | Yes | 321 | 6.4¢ | $13 | — |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 300 | 3.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 272 | 4.6¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 5.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| kaifu0x44f2…1415 | Yes | 200 | 6.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 1,239 bets |
| 0xc574…99de | Yes | 143 | 7.3¢ | $6 | — |
| LordProtector0x8420…6183 | Yes | 122 | 3.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 1,382 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 118 | 5.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| BrazenBanana0x5c42…257b | Yes | 103 | 6.6¢ | $4 | New48 settled bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 4.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 9627mt0x377e…69c7 | Yes | 88 | 8.3¢ | $3 | New44 settled bets |
| 0xac46…2cae | Yes | 83 | 6.2¢ | $3 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 5.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf11e…4014 | Yes | 77 | 7.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2470…66e4 | Yes | 77 | 6.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.96 per $100 · 219 bets |
| Mnimiy0xdafa…9f46 | Yes | 71 | 7.3¢ | $3 | — |
| king54210x3605…52bd | Yes | 70 | 6.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 888 bets |
| lilfabio0xbf38…af6c | Yes | 60 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec910x4569…ec91 | Yes | 54 | 6.6¢ | $2 | New67 settled bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 45 | 4.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 39 | 5.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| 0x15e2…5985 | Yes | 38 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.83 per $100 · 676 bets |
| bilboy0x29ef…d453 | Yes | 33 | 5.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.70 per $100 · 195 bets |
| cyber870neob230x0e5a…f598 | Yes | 33 | 7.3¢ | $1 | New8 settled bets |
| stormcorefirem0xb5b0…a017 | Yes | 33 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| alphadev566yn0xe193…0fbc | Yes | 33 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| yyoo15200x363e…92f8 | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$20.42 per $100 · 218 bets |
| Leyker0x8abc…068b | Yes | 29 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| McProducer0x7c37…5b82 | Yes | 25 | 8.3¢ | $1 | New58 settled bets |
| turbo-d0x31ff…209b | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.56 per $100 · 1,504 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 21 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| experience0x3241…9f9f | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 178 bets |
| 0xe2c2…c3a5 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| rganizing0xe50d…4bd5 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfc43…4778 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| sahamies0x5dbc…e3c7 | Yes | 14 | 7.3¢ | $1 | New60 settled bets |
| waltermontes50xacc6…236d | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Uuu38720x1476…bdfb | Yes | 10 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 610 bets |
| oa11540xf3bc…8ecf | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 8 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| oqnb26220x1630…461b | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.