Market · 3 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1,342 | 99.4¢ | $1.33K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| Slenderman-8190x5c93…d15c | Yes | 5,762 | 0.5¢ | $61 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 49 | 98.0¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 2,444 | 1.2¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,214 | 0.6¢ | $23 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 16 | 99.4¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,378 | 1.3¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 13 | 98.4¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 1,235 | 0.6¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 1,016 | 2.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| shriks760xd0ca…4166 | Yes | 682 | 1.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 585 | 14.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ruiMcosta0x9f74…4fcc | No | 6 | 98.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $5 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc1d0…4afc | Yes | 393 | 3.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 4 | 99.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 4 | 84.9¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 337 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 4 | 88.9¢ | $3 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 301 | 1.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 300 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 294 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 280 | 3.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xb315…92e1 | Yes | 250 | 2.8¢ | $3 | — |
| calm.rabbit0x33db…417a | Yes | 217 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe797…b258 | Yes | 214 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| buzagaza0xfa43…76a5 | Yes | 211 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 182 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x05ab…1990 | Yes | 154 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 150 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0xd1bf…e1b4 | Yes | 135 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 106 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 105 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| newer0xc23e…1461 | Yes | 101 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ReBuS-6880xd131…b557 | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| verbo0x4d01…992b | Yes | 100 | 2.5¢ | $1 | New12 settled bets |
| dezk190x10cc…75cc | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 95 | 14.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 90 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| pmaker0xe243…79f7 | Yes | 87 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 84 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x18cd…6fb1 | Yes | 83 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 77 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 73 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| sec0x6089…7c1e | Yes | 71 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 66 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LockKey0xbf3a…8019 | Yes | 58 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| barooo0010xdae3…cf78 | Yes | 41 | 12.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Alistairgege0x7835…a3c5 | Yes | 40 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 34 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x49cc…858f | Yes | 30 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 30 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| whoow0xf334…821e | Yes | 30 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Garfield470xedb2…0778 | Yes | 27 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x53cf…0479 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ohnoooooo0xc353…fa0b | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.