Market · 4 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ruiMcosta0x9f74…4fcc | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 98.2¢ | $5 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| brickzflip0xe283…3263 | Yes | 2,554 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 2,551 | 0.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| YesVolume0xa206…f666 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 1,947 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,378 | 1.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 0x9f83…a88f | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xcc3d…b4c1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 859 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks0x5943…0d97 | Yes | 730 | 0.1¢ | $1 | New11 settled bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 670 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 610 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 585 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| buzagaza0xfa43…76a5 | Yes | 500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 327 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,526 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 301 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 224 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 201 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | Yes | 176 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x05ab…1990 | Yes | 157 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| dezk190x10cc…75cc | Yes | 128 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 90 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6ca2…91b1 | Yes | 71 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wankwank0xba81…33ae | Yes | 66 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| AtikaBest0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | 50 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 49 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,777 bets |
| pp1550x16fe…1ddc | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 31 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,303 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 25 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| 0xwon0x0b54…5eff | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 25 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 14 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 13 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| larrylarry10x5fdd…2132 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 8 | 12.9¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 7 | 8.3¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cabalser0x10a5…d14c | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| adeedee0x28e0…2383 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Ispanez0x8ee3…923f | Yes | 5 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4c5a…627a | Yes | 5 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x53cf…0479 | Yes | 5 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BESTASKV30x9a96…c691 | Yes | 4 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 2 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.