Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| slimecity30x7b04…3a41 | Yes | 7,189 | 3.1¢ | $162 | — |
| anonymousoctopus0x6b32…3535 | Yes | 6,922 | 4.4¢ | $156 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 151 | 94.7¢ | $148 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Username21330x0947…c1c9 | Yes | 3,855 | 4.4¢ | $87 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 3,436 | 4.5¢ | $77 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 3,333 | 10.0¢ | $75 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 2,269 | 5.4¢ | $51 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 50 | 98.2¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| moonthat0x5fa0…c20f | Yes | 1,435 | 5.0¢ | $32 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,117 | 6.5¢ | $25 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 25 | 97.2¢ | $24 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 1,064 | 1.8¢ | $24 | — |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 977 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| 0xc327…31f5 | Yes | 967 | 2.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 951 | 3.2¢ | $21 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 787 | 1.9¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | Yes | 765 | 6.8¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xc9c8…44fb | Yes | 750 | 2.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 1,108 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 739 | 9.4¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| 0x9996…bda1 | Yes | 716 | 7.5¢ | $16 | — |
| MellowWaters0x7f26…e5e8 | Yes | 685 | 2.6¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.83 per $100 · 147 bets |
| papa66690x6287…e197 | Yes | 670 | 2.0¢ | $15 | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 547 | 3.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Hall-ex0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | 540 | 3.1¢ | $12 | New45 settled bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 500 | 5.6¢ | $11 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 496 | 3.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Lionel-Messi0x5b11…d516 | Yes | 474 | 1.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x84d4…77a9 | Yes | 447 | 7.3¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 95.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| sd4f5g67h8j90x31a4…dd86 | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | $10 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 95.5¢ | $10 | — |
| adamma0x4bc1…ec40 | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | $10 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 384 | 6.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Amerika0x756d…b4d4 | Yes | 362 | 5.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 357 | 5.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 305 | 3.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 300 | 2.4¢ | $7 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 292 | 9.6¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 253 | 5.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 5 | 95.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | Yes | 235 | 1.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Bet9740xdeee…cb75 | Yes | 231 | 2.7¢ | $5 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 2.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 191 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 183 | 9.1¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 180 | 4.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$26.12 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Po1yBot-wfDDVt3EQS0x8ca4…7e83 | Yes | 167 | 6.2¢ | $4 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 159 | 1.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 151 | 5.1¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 95.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Olka0x5849…a99e | Yes | 115 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$16.51 per $100 · 3,079 bets |
| ruyi6860x8e57…53b3 | Yes | 112 | 2.8¢ | $3 | — |
| OKsun0xf1e5…c9e0 | Yes | 100 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 98 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| LeftieFTW0x066a…550d | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | — |
| H2g38K120x3bb5…7ad9 | Yes | 72 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.04 per $100 · 203 bets |
| 0xe8c4…8cf3 | Yes | 66 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 1 | 95.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x69d7…c25c | Yes | 63 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| camkm0xbabd…2b67 | Yes | 56 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| m100xb6cb…21cd | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 95.7¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 40 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 10 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 4 | 10.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,815 bets |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| vvvt0xe8df…faa5 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.