Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| abze0x8c0d…9d95 | No | 900 | 88.1¢ | $807 | New57 settled bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 7,500 | 10.5¢ | $772 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 6,237 | 13.1¢ | $642 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 4,755 | 12.2¢ | $490 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 4,430 | 13.1¢ | $456 | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 4,545 bets |
| Username21330x0947…c1c9 | Yes | 4,000 | 12.8¢ | $412 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 3,333 | 10.0¢ | $343 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 327 | 89.9¢ | $293 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 320 | 90.8¢ | $287 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| anonymousoctopus0x6b32…3535 | Yes | 2,706 | 11.8¢ | $279 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 250 | 87.5¢ | $224 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 246 | 81.5¢ | $221 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 2,077 | 10.5¢ | $214 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| slimecity30x7b04…3a41 | Yes | 1,580 | 10.9¢ | $163 | — |
| 0x9996…bda1 | Yes | 1,416 | 25.4¢ | $146 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 1,393 | 10.8¢ | $143 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,374 | 11.9¢ | $142 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| calllum0x51a4…dd44 | No | 150 | 87.6¢ | $135 | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 341 bets |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 1,246 | 12.3¢ | $128 | — |
| MellowWaters0x7f26…e5e8 | Yes | 1,129 | 8.6¢ | $116 | Losing−$5.83 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 1,073 | 12.0¢ | $110 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,035 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 997 | 13.4¢ | $103 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 96 | 89.0¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 800 | 5.6¢ | $82 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | Yes | 800 | 12.2¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 60 | 86.3¢ | $54 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 57 | 85.8¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| Lionel-Messi0x5b11…d516 | Yes | 466 | 10.7¢ | $48 | — |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 450 | 11.3¢ | $46 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 50 | 89.8¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 50 | 87.6¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| 0xb46c…c34d | No | 50 | 86.0¢ | $45 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 47 | 82.1¢ | $42 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 46 | 86.6¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 354 | 10.5¢ | $36 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| Coconuts890x42e5…5ade | No | 40 | 87.2¢ | $36 | Proven+$11.12 per $100 · 147 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 30 | 89.8¢ | $27 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 25 | 89.9¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 24 | 84.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 174 | 12.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | Yes | 155 | 13.3¢ | $16 | — |
| Amerika0x756d…b4d4 | Yes | 155 | 13.3¢ | $16 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 143 | 9.3¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 134 | 12.9¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom0x2eae…8d29 | Yes | 129 | 12.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 119 | 14.2¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Bet9740xdeee…cb75 | Yes | 112 | 14.8¢ | $12 | — |
| funky240xccba…11f0 | Yes | 107 | 11.8¢ | $11 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $10 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 98 | 14.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| javictoria0x6365…eba8 | Yes | 95 | 11.1¢ | $10 | — |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 92 | 10.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x50d3…9566 | Yes | 78 | 13.3¢ | $8 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 71 | 1.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xe8c4…8cf3 | Yes | 66 | 11.9¢ | $7 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 62 | 8.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| moonthat0x5fa0…c20f | Yes | 54 | 16.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $5 | — |
| chopwood0xb886…3024 | Yes | 50 | 12.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3436…4ff0 | Yes | 50 | 10.4¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 6 | 81.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| qifi0xd42f…1316 | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 47 | 10.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| Lustyleopard0x213f…a313 | Yes | 44 | 11.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.41 per $100 · 821 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 5 | 77.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 40 | 11.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| onyxt0x9de3…b489 | Yes | 37 | 13.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x791e…d185 | Yes | 36 | 8.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| OKBullet0xb443…ab02 | Yes | 29 | 14.4¢ | $3 | — |
| LeftieFTW0x066a…550d | No | 2 | 93.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 87.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 2 | 87.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4b85…fd25 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | New67 settled bets |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 86.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa282…4697 | No | 1 | 90.7¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 86.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 4 | 10.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,866 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 0 | 87.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 0 | 87.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 85.7¢ | $0 | — |
| vvvt0xe8df…faa5 | No | 0 | 87.6¢ | $0 | — |
| luccajales0x3b69…01d7 | No | 0 | 76.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 85.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 89.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 0 | 86.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 3,585 bets |
| highfiveHQ0x5c91…5ccc | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | No | 0 | 88.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 0 | 14.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 22 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.