Market · 2 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 17,370 | 17.1¢ | $3.91K | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 8,124 | 26.1¢ | $1.83K | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 4,545 bets |
| Username21330x0947…c1c9 | Yes | 4,000 | 25.4¢ | $900 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 1,063 | 78.0¢ | $824 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,035 bets |
| abze0x8c0d…9d95 | No | 1,000 | 78.0¢ | $775 | New57 settled bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 608 | 82.7¢ | $471 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 2,028 | 15.0¢ | $456 | — |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 1,588 | 21.7¢ | $357 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 444 | 75.4¢ | $344 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 1,453 | 29.8¢ | $327 | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,264 | 24.7¢ | $284 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 1,200 | 18.0¢ | $270 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,174 | 18.6¢ | $264 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| SoftWare0xc4c1…a5a5 | No | 323 | 90.4¢ | $250 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 320 | 80.2¢ | $248 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| wakakakakakaka0xe9c7…147a | No | 310 | 82.0¢ | $240 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 740 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 990 | 21.5¢ | $223 | — |
| runitup800x0f09…5cd0 | Yes | 988 | 20.0¢ | $222 | — |
| Afuckingbot0x752e…b1b3 | Yes | 952 | 21.7¢ | $214 | Positive+$3.02 per $100 · 154 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 862 | 14.8¢ | $194 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | Yes | 833 | 24.7¢ | $187 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 775 | 5.6¢ | $174 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| MellowWaters0x7f26…e5e8 | Yes | 671 | 14.5¢ | $151 | Losing−$5.83 per $100 · 147 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 587 | 18.5¢ | $132 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| 0xc74e…3917 | Yes | 568 | 23.6¢ | $128 | — |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 500 | 14.8¢ | $113 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 481 | 23.5¢ | $108 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 460 | 7.4¢ | $104 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 400 | 28.5¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 115 | 76.7¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| funky240xccba…11f0 | Yes | 384 | 26.0¢ | $86 | — |
| edmondan0x4005…4cd5 | Yes | 323 | 19.2¢ | $73 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 321 | 23.0¢ | $72 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 295 | 23.7¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 293 | 19.1¢ | $66 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 264 | 26.3¢ | $59 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 233 | 9.7¢ | $52 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| hisoka72000x9440…2809 | No | 63 | 80.6¢ | $48 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 50 | 71.0¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 50 | 75.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 150 | 14.0¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xe831…3c36 | Yes | 143 | 21.7¢ | $32 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 141 | 19.1¢ | $32 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| BattleOrders0xb229…dbad | Yes | 137 | 22.9¢ | $31 | — |
| 0x06ee…a051 | Yes | 125 | 24.7¢ | $28 | New1 settled bet |
| delphilo0xca52…0cdf | Yes | 125 | 16.5¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 36 | 78.6¢ | $28 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 34 | 87.5¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| onyxt0x9de3…b489 | Yes | 118 | 17.0¢ | $26 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 107 | 30.8¢ | $24 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x3196…ec59 | Yes | 105 | 19.7¢ | $24 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 102 | 25.1¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| Kryvex0x15bb…6ca6 | Yes | 100 | 24.7¢ | $23 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| Amerika0x756d…b4d4 | Yes | 95 | 21.6¢ | $21 | — |
| Jewgeni-TheGOAT0xb631…3470 | Yes | 95 | 21.7¢ | $21 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 26 | 77.0¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 25 | 73.1¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 25 | 60.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| JimWang0x474f…c9de | Yes | 83 | 24.7¢ | $19 | — |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | Yes | 80 | 25.8¢ | $18 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 72 | 17.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 0xe8c4…8cf3 | Yes | 66 | 22.7¢ | $15 | — |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 63 | 24.7¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xd45b…7ae6 | Yes | 50 | 24.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xc6ed…efd3 | No | 12 | 83.6¢ | $9 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 75.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| sd4f5g67h8j90x31a4…dd86 | No | 10 | 82.6¢ | $8 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 70.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 75.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 10 | 74.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 10 | 70.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Bet0100x85f6…03ec | No | 6 | 80.6¢ | $5 | — |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | No | 6 | 82.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 4,096 bets |
| Luca170x0663…3c2b | No | 6 | 82.6¢ | $5 | — |
| qifi0xd42f…1316 | No | 5 | 79.8¢ | $4 | — |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 3 | 77.7¢ | $3 | New47 settled bets |
| 0xa06e…d147 | No | 2 | 77.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 6 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 2 | 84.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 1 | 75.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 4 | 10.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.03 per $100 · 18,899 bets |
| Tanker3370xad86…5038 | No | 1 | 83.6¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| KRILLL0xc378…486a | No | 1 | 76.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SebW0xf2f2…d1f0 | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | — |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 0 | 68.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| vvvt0xe8df…faa5 | No | 0 | 83.6¢ | $0 | — |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 77.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ArbJohn0x508d…a6f9 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.