Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 14,716 | 28.6¢ | $4.39K | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 5,283 | 23.9¢ | $1.58K | — |
| Username21330x0947…c1c9 | Yes | 4,000 | 31.0¢ | $1.19K | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 2,601 | 17.7¢ | $776 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| runitup800x0f09…5cd0 | Yes | 2,000 | 22.5¢ | $597 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,740 | 27.7¢ | $519 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,392 | 22.1¢ | $415 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,264 | 23.3¢ | $377 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 509 | 75.3¢ | $357 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,807 bets |
| abze0x8c0d…9d95 | No | 500 | 74.9¢ | $351 | New57 settled bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 1,116 | 23.5¢ | $333 | — |
| web22560x87ad…de46 | Yes | 1,100 | 31.0¢ | $328 | — |
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | No | 434 | 68.1¢ | $304 | New6 settled bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | Yes | 1,000 | 24.3¢ | $299 | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| suoha5180x29bb…f0f4 | Yes | 953 | 27.4¢ | $285 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 403 | 71.1¢ | $283 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 767 | 9.7¢ | $229 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 622 | 11.4¢ | $186 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 534 | 27.9¢ | $159 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 0xc74e…3917 | Yes | 528 | 25.4¢ | $157 | — |
| ZeroSigma0x551a…86b9 | Yes | 497 | 16.7¢ | $148 | — |
| Herozl0xae6a…329c | Yes | 454 | 22.8¢ | $136 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 452 | 18.1¢ | $135 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x872e…e58f | Yes | 414 | 24.9¢ | $124 | Losing−$12.93 per $100 · 134 bets |
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | Yes | 403 | 21.9¢ | $120 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 400 | 28.1¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| negativePNL0x2675…2374 | Yes | 400 | 23.6¢ | $119 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 557 bets |
| testuoju0x7778…6c7b | Yes | 400 | 25.3¢ | $119 | — |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 351 | 15.3¢ | $105 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 148 | 75.0¢ | $104 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,034 bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | No | 146 | 76.6¢ | $102 | — |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 331 | 16.5¢ | $99 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 140 | 73.5¢ | $98 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| harryhosg0x65bb…a1c6 | Yes | 312 | 31.8¢ | $93 | — |
| foxy40x40ca…a96d | No | 126 | 81.1¢ | $88 | — |
| abuzernane0x0576…2db7 | Yes | 295 | 29.4¢ | $88 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 118 | 71.5¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xc327…31f5 | Yes | 260 | 28.5¢ | $78 | — |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 255 | 6.8¢ | $76 | — |
| Bet9740xdeee…cb75 | Yes | 251 | 10.3¢ | $75 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 229 | 12.9¢ | $68 | — |
| 0x0840…9746 | Yes | 200 | 17.5¢ | $60 | — |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 200 | 28.1¢ | $60 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 84 | 80.2¢ | $59 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| funky240xccba…11f0 | Yes | 189 | 33.7¢ | $56 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 150 | 18.8¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 126 | 4.9¢ | $37 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0xe831…3c36 | Yes | 124 | 24.9¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xed87…8780 | Yes | 121 | 25.7¢ | $36 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 30.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x1b3e…16a4 | Yes | 118 | 18.1¢ | $35 | — |
| delphilo0xca52…0cdf | Yes | 118 | 17.5¢ | $35 | — |
| lowiqgenius0x6960…bb6a | Yes | 118 | 26.3¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | No | 50 | 77.2¢ | $35 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 50 | 72.3¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| pluckyme0xc436…76c9 | No | 50 | 74.3¢ | $35 | — |
| dandakao0x0931…dfc8 | Yes | 115 | 22.5¢ | $34 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 115 | 29.7¢ | $34 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 105 | 25.8¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 105 | 26.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 102 | 15.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x1abe…1dda | Yes | 100 | 18.0¢ | $30 | — |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | No | 42 | 72.8¢ | $29 | — |
| hisoka72000x9440…2809 | No | 39 | 77.1¢ | $28 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 33 | 71.3¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 70.4¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 25 | 72.6¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 25 | 81.3¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 19 | 71.0¢ | $13 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 40 | 9.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc6ed…efd3 | No | 14 | 78.2¢ | $10 | — |
| riitmo0xbfb3…f890 | No | 14 | 71.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 14 | 76.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| sd4f5g67h8j90x31a4…dd86 | No | 10 | 88.3¢ | $7 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 64.5¢ | $7 | — |
| DREAMBIG.0x9e8e…8db8 | No | 7 | 86.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$18.01 per $100 · 5,706 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 4 | 72.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| Felicityrose0x7b25…6f8e | No | 4 | 76.2¢ | $3 | — |
| DrShredz0x0f38…e56c | Yes | 9 | 34.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | No | 2 | 75.0¢ | $2 | — |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 2 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Luminara.c0x12bb…dcac | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 79.3¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 1 | 80.1¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 84.4¢ | $0 | — |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 0 | 75.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 0 | 92.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 0 | 72.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| namxoroso0x1009…b6fe | No | 0 | 75.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 0 | 7.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 76.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 0 | 72.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 0x7a15…df69 | No | 0 | 93.5¢ | $0 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 75 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.