Market · 5 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 15,000 | 9.3¢ | $1.37K | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 948 | 93.1¢ | $862 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 5,930 | 7.1¢ | $540 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 499 | 92.2¢ | $453 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 4,957 | 8.4¢ | $451 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 426 | 91.9¢ | $387 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| lennyst0x00ad…bac7 | Yes | 3,761 | 8.1¢ | $342 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 362 | 91.4¢ | $329 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| web22560x87ad…de46 | Yes | 3,349 | 6.4¢ | $305 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 3,333 | 10.0¢ | $303 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| BP20250x049a…b22a | Yes | 3,303 | 7.0¢ | $301 | Proven+$6.76 per $100 · 257 bets |
| 0xJasonSan0xedc8…3296 | No | 322 | 92.9¢ | $293 | — |
| vimtodcs0x54fd…4ac3 | No | 216 | 83.2¢ | $196 | Proven+$6.19 per $100 · 907 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 213 | 90.0¢ | $194 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 200 | 90.1¢ | $182 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 200 | 87.9¢ | $182 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 1,346 | 7.2¢ | $123 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,015 | 6.1¢ | $92 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 1,013 | 16.5¢ | $92 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 101 | 92.9¢ | $92 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 93.0¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 100 | 92.2¢ | $91 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 997 | 7.8¢ | $91 | — |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 860 | 8.0¢ | $78 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 78 | 90.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 713 | 10.3¢ | $65 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 572 | 8.8¢ | $52 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| abze0x8c0d…9d95 | Yes | 560 | 5.1¢ | $51 | New57 settled bets |
| PYEQUANT0x95a8…1c69 | No | 54 | 92.5¢ | $49 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 500 | 13.7¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 50 | 94.9¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 444 | 11.6¢ | $40 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 43 | 89.4¢ | $39 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 411 | 3.5¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| 0x68df…e891 | Yes | 411 | 12.6¢ | $37 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 33 | 90.1¢ | $30 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| jellybeanmachine980x298a…15b9 | Yes | 316 | 16.3¢ | $29 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 315 | 7.9¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| testuoju0x7778…6c7b | Yes | 252 | 6.0¢ | $23 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 25 | 94.7¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 25 | 94.4¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 24 | 92.7¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| balthazar.net0x6007…1788 | Yes | 160 | 16.1¢ | $15 | — |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 154 | 7.2¢ | $14 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 150 | 5.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 145 | 11.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 143 | 9.3¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Ramonstone0x374e…0a84 | Yes | 141 | 7.4¢ | $13 | New32 settled bets |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 140 | 14.8¢ | $13 | — |
| WashTrade0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | 128 | 5.9¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.16 per $100 · 1,285 bets |
| bai12810x6883…bd1e | Yes | 120 | 17.2¢ | $11 | — |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | Yes | 118 | 15.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| forest21230x681e…5394 | Yes | 108 | 6.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 107 | 4.5¢ | $10 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 10 | 88.6¢ | $9 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 10 | 95.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 0x9a0x71c2…4115 | Yes | 100 | 20.6¢ | $9 | — |
| sd4f5g67h8j90x31a4…dd86 | No | 10 | 85.5¢ | $9 | — |
| takertime0x4941…b03c | No | 10 | 38.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x423e…d872 | Yes | 98 | 10.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 10 | 88.1¢ | $9 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 89 | 9.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 88 | 6.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| 0xe8c4…8cf3 | Yes | 66 | 4.6¢ | $6 | — |
| M5an0xe01a…cd84 | Yes | 64 | 16.1¢ | $6 | — |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 61 | 7.3¢ | $6 | — |
| flamerrr0xad26…da90 | Yes | 60 | 6.4¢ | $5 | — |
| sfud0xe2dd…be11 | Yes | 57 | 18.1¢ | $5 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 54 | 7.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb46c…c34d | Yes | 51 | 7.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 50 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | Yes | 50 | 12.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| T-deg0x9163…0cab | Yes | 50 | 16.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Eastassignment0xb8b0…1281 | Yes | 50 | 13.7¢ | $5 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 4 | 83.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Oslnl0xfbd2…61f1 | No | 2 | 82.5¢ | $2 | — |
| aseoslon0xfd8a…f8e2 | No | 2 | 82.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 90.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 2 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bigceohiko0x5b7b…5116 | No | 1 | 84.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$12.13 per $100 · 468 bets |
| Tanker3370xad86…5038 | No | 1 | 84.3¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 83.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x75cb…7ba4 | No | 1 | 93.6¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | No | 0 | 93.8¢ | $0 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 0 | 93.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 65sfds0x783e…5a19 | No | 0 | 81.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 197 bets |
| beyond00xb139…0ba0 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 0 | 83.9¢ | $0 | — |
| eatLi0xf7ec…e53a | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd43f…c66b | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | — |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | No | 0 | 90.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 12,423 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 93.5¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 0 | 11.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | No | 0 | 89.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.