Market · 3 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital0x9578…f066 | No | 399 | 90.4¢ | $364 | — |
| abba040x3d52…d44f | Yes | 1,377 | 13.5¢ | $120 | — |
| 87q35hg42875gh429017580xed46…cc5a | Yes | 1,026 | 9.8¢ | $90 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $68 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 309 | 8.1¢ | $27 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| ohhhyeahh0x3ccd…9336 | Yes | 282 | 7.8¢ | $25 | — |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 250 | 11.0¢ | $22 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 90.1¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 154 | 5.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 135 | 4.0¢ | $12 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 117 | 6.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 117 | 17.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x248d…1084 | Yes | 97 | 12.8¢ | $8 | — |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | No | 9 | 84.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 93 | 1.4¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| cat67670x124a…3741 | Yes | 69 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 487 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 91.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 91.5¢ | $5 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 49 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$26.12 per $100 · 119 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 40 | 9.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 26 | 13.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 4.6¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 11.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | No | 2 | 95.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5a29…7f5c | No | 1 | 90.2¢ | $1 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 10 | 10.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 5 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| BOOST2500xac7a…414f | Yes | 1 | 11.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,760 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 9.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 104 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.