Market · 2 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 1,556 | 34.8¢ | $560 | — |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 494 | 35.9¢ | $178 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 400 | 37.6¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,101 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 395 | 38.5¢ | $142 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 380 | 29.9¢ | $137 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 153 | 63.3¢ | $98 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | No | 150 | 55.7¢ | $96 | — |
| abba040x3d52…d44f | Yes | 261 | 39.2¢ | $94 | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 250 | 20.6¢ | $90 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
| twizzy880xf781…9514 | Yes | 203 | 50.2¢ | $73 | — |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 195 | 8.2¢ | $70 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 166 | 16.4¢ | $60 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 70 | 76.0¢ | $45 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 119 | 38.0¢ | $43 | — |
| DeverNoom0x529d…6381 | Yes | 100 | 37.3¢ | $36 | Proven+$3.16 per $100 · 877 bets |
| Tin-stt0x6726…45e5 | No | 56 | 61.1¢ | $36 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 52 | 72.7¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 51 | 72.2¢ | $32 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 86 | 30.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Valkyrien0x6433…b874 | Yes | 62 | 49.7¢ | $22 | — |
| JumpingJacksboy0x5df7…080b | Yes | 59 | 34.8¢ | $21 | — |
| EsperanzasDESTROYER0x2128…f203 | Yes | 56 | 56.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xd45b…7ae6 | Yes | 50 | 46.5¢ | $18 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 50 | 66.7¢ | $18 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 38 | 27.3¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 37 | 35.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 73.2¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 17 | 69.2¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 28 | 33.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 27 | 36.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 14 | 76.5¢ | $9 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 20 | 28.2¢ | $7 | — |
| HighBetaBro0xb309…d14b | Yes | 19 | 39.7¢ | $7 | — |
| BearHug0x25f7…9e74 | Yes | 19 | 54.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 10 | 72.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 15 | 25.1¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 15 | 35.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 0x2ce3…9e67 | Yes | 13 | 39.1¢ | $5 | — |
| musashix010x8dc4…80d7 | Yes | 13 | 40.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 69.2¢ | $3 | — |
| qcp70x7875…0dfb | Yes | 8 | 21.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | No | 4 | 46.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Edi120xc031…2c43 | Yes | 6 | 48.5¢ | $2 | — |
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 6 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$26.12 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x277f…dfc8 | Yes | 5 | 21.3¢ | $2 | — |
| surewinnn996660xc2f6…5c11 | Yes | 4 | 48.2¢ | $2 | — |
| BayesianBadger0x21be…1b40 | Yes | 3 | 40.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5a29…7f5c | No | 1 | 77.7¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 59.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8b12…18cb | No | 1 | 81.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x25e7…45cd | Yes | 2 | 27.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 33.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420030x2e62…b22e | Yes | 1 | 26.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 10,669 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 0 | 62.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0xd385…dd8a | Yes | 0 | 25.8¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 72.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,124 bets |
| CopyMEyouwillwin0x8d58…4205 | Yes | 0 | 35.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | No | 0 | 66.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 0 | 69.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 26.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| trddxg20x135f…af8e | Yes | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| M31B0x2bef…c50c | Yes | 0 | 35.6¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | Yes | 0 | 49.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 104 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.