Market · 4 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 1,188 | 75.1¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 1,990 | 10.7¢ | $108 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $43 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 450 | 14.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$26.12 per $100 · 119 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 430 | 10.5¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 97.1¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 340 | 22.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 285 | 11.6¢ | $16 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 208 | 23.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 190 | 2.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 135 | 3.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| PollMarshall0x443e…1235 | No | 6 | 81.2¢ | $6 | — |
| BOOST2500xac7a…414f | Yes | 100 | 35.0¢ | $5 | — |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 100 | 17.0¢ | $5 | — |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | Yes | 80 | 25.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 76 | 3.2¢ | $4 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 65 | 12.5¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| LovelyPanda0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | 62 | 11.2¢ | $3 | — |
| gajistan0x90a6…f8a9 | Yes | 62 | 8.1¢ | $3 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 57 | 37.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| lplplplplplp0xdf8d…3a6c | Yes | 40 | 34.0¢ | $2 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | Yes | 37 | 22.3¢ | $2 | — |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | Yes | 36 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Po1yBot-wfDDVt3EQS0x8ca4…7e83 | Yes | 33 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| heaven-h-4130x4b38…008f | Yes | 33 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 35.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 29 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 22 | 7.7¢ | $1 | — |
| letsgooo2220x191e…6da5 | Yes | 21 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 21 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 14 | 20.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | No | 1 | 97.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 5 | 6.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 89.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fabriksopor0x7c39…f4f2 | Yes | 2 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 85.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 81.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 18.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.