Market · 8 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 1,662 | 0.1¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| BBB88660x146e…ab0b | Yes | 1,538 | 0.1¢ | $16 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,212 | 3.3¢ | $13 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| BBBBBB8860xd2ca…fc0d | Yes | 763 | 1.0¢ | $8 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 572 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 413 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x7143…5da0 | Yes | 384 | 1.4¢ | $4 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 380 | 5.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| Penooooo0x615f…5f37 | Yes | 318 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 226 | 3.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | Yes | 210 | 2.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 4,948 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 208 | 4.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 201 | 5.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,307 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 135 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 121 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| kristyrt0xfbab…583e | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 102 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 98 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 68 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 27 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 6 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 0 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.