Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 49,582 | 35.5¢ | $49.4K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 13,439 | 99.2¢ | $13.4K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| Paul9739730xa108…abd3 | No | 11,400 | 96.6¢ | $11.3K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| hwey346ed0x8637…39bd | No | 10,442 | 98.9¢ | $10.4K | — |
| 0x47e8…faee | No | 6,742 | 81.9¢ | $6.71K | New13 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 6,335 | 46.5¢ | $6.31K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| 0xbe04…3c60 | No | 5,859 | 96.2¢ | $5.83K | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 527 bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 5,507 | 98.3¢ | $5.48K | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| 0x23a6…36ea | No | 5,253 | 98.9¢ | $5.23K | New9 settled bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 4,387 | 56.0¢ | $4.37K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 4,101 | 98.5¢ | $4.08K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 3,774 | 97.0¢ | $3.76K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 789 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | No | 3,735 | 36.9¢ | $3.72K | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 3,051 | 99.2¢ | $3.04K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0x56e7…7c0b | No | 2,648 | 92.7¢ | $2.64K | Proven+$6.11 per $100 · 157 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 2,395 | 98.8¢ | $2.38K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,357 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 2,047 | 94.8¢ | $2.04K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 2,000 | 29.0¢ | $1.99K | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 1,973 | 33.7¢ | $1.96K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| TwoSunCapital0xe231…93a5 | No | 1,784 | 37.9¢ | $1.78K | — |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | No | 1,176 | 40.0¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| 0xb225…d4a1 | No | 1,111 | 18.6¢ | $1.11K | Positive+$4.36 per $100 · 219 bets |
| wallet-account-test0xcaff…e3ad | No | 1,000 | 39.9¢ | $996 | — |
| bb9990x2453…9fb2 | No | 980 | 98.2¢ | $975 | New59 settled bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 877 | 98.2¢ | $873 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,934 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 844 | 31.5¢ | $840 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| fuckpm0xa821…0bc8 | No | 800 | 71.0¢ | $796 | — |
| 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e0xbf0f…28ce | No | 787 | 51.5¢ | $784 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 737 | 96.7¢ | $734 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| gjfjh0x5adb…4c7a | No | 712 | 96.1¢ | $709 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 299 bets |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | No | 683 | 30.5¢ | $680 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 2,166 bets |
| lufei888880xa927…4847 | No | 667 | 30.8¢ | $664 | — |
| unco0x70a9…6a74 | No | 658 | 89.3¢ | $655 | Proven+$9.58 per $100 · 220 bets |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | No | 598 | 88.3¢ | $596 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 957 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 574 | 95.8¢ | $571 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| mastaholder0xd083…e796 | No | 570 | 60.5¢ | $568 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 556 | 92.0¢ | $553 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| SickandTired0x290d…dc40 | No | 531 | 94.3¢ | $529 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 1,218 bets |
| iamgood8980x6d24…fd7e | No | 506 | 98.9¢ | $503 | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 130 bets |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu0x01be…7586 | No | 500 | 41.0¢ | $498 | New60 settled bets |
| Gimmaer0x29a3…9b79 | No | 500 | 75.0¢ | $498 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 404 bets |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 500 | 40.0¢ | $498 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| BamseOgKylling0xd9e7…4cde | No | 500 | 98.3¢ | $498 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 195 bets |
| Mahnic0xdf34…dc86 | No | 444 | 36.3¢ | $442 | — |
| Sgnil0x6e66…f4ea | No | 415 | 97.6¢ | $413 | New77 settled bets |
| alckf940xd26d…a951 | No | 414 | 55.0¢ | $412 | — |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 405 | 27.5¢ | $403 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| smacks970x55d2…efda | No | 374 | 63.6¢ | $372 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 373 | 31.9¢ | $372 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | No | 341 | 30.2¢ | $339 | Positive+$4.99 per $100 · 1,435 bets |
| betwick0xc851…cd2a | Yes | 40,051 | 72.3¢ | $180 | Proven+$5.31 per $100 · 770 bets |
| tourists0xc6dd…4b9f | Yes | 10,000 | 81.0¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 929 bets |
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | Yes | 9,995 | 60.7¢ | $45 | New85 settled bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 9,750 | 4.4¢ | $44 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | Yes | 8,428 | 59.5¢ | $38 | Proven+$5.59 per $100 · 870 bets |
| 0xaeb1…03fb | Yes | 8,152 | 8.9¢ | $37 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 6,376 | 3.1¢ | $29 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | 5,604 | 2.4¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 817 bets |
| Rancher15550xd497…42c5 | Yes | 4,737 | 62.9¢ | $21 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,639 | 3.9¢ | $16 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 3,500 | 6.2¢ | $16 | Proven+$11.15 per $100 · 504 bets |
| sundalo0x59d6…0704 | Yes | 3,495 | 57.4¢ | $16 | Positive+$16.62 per $100 · 371 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,399 | 2.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| JT7160x7650…fac1 | Yes | 2,698 | 64.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| HelloKitty3330xb528…5039 | Yes | 2,692 | 63.7¢ | $12 | — |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | Yes | 2,610 | 4.4¢ | $12 | — |
| jajupe0xfec3…c3a0 | Yes | 2,500 | 1.0¢ | $11 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 2,491 | 50.6¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 2,114 | 4.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 2,081 | 1.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 2,032 | 63.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 2,020 | 24.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | Yes | 1,817 | 75.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| cat67670x124a…3741 | Yes | 1,535 | 4.2¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 487 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 1,317 | 5.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 293,648+ bets · updating |
| BetZilla0xc33d…1b02 | Yes | 1,300 | 81.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$7.90 per $100 · 142 bets |
| TestingMyGangster0x3a51…fd7f | Yes | 1,232 | 56.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 136 bets |
| Investnow0x97f3…0eba | Yes | 1,136 | 45.0¢ | $5 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | 1,127 | 61.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,100 | 2.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| marknorthlondonforever0xf16c…b224 | Yes | 1,018 | 31.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ScienceDog0xc369…4e87 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Chabias0x4bfc…f43d | Yes | 1,000 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.25 per $100 · 235 bets |
| 0x87120xa676…1c22 | Yes | 1,000 | 58.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 424 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 999 | 5.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| JanusApprentice0x21c0…4827 | Yes | 934 | 33.0¢ | $4 | New99 settled bets |
| 0x737d…ca1d | Yes | 915 | 1.8¢ | $4 | New26 settled bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 912 | 26.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| mazw80x7c30…7673 | Yes | 885 | 62.5¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 777 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 705 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| xiaoxinyiyi0x8c07…f3c7 | Yes | 700 | 73.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 652 | 63.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 715 bets |
| DeadPush0x02ff…74bb | Yes | 500 | 62.0¢ | $2 | New14 settled bets |
| kk222310x53fb…e92a | Yes | 500 | 6.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 1,355 bets |
| 2pac4life0xaa52…865b | Yes | 500 | 61.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 476 | 3.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 450 | 6.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 415 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$19.58 per $100 · 1,654 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 400 | 62.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| bearmagnet0xffd8…1a4d | Yes | 400 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.