Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x91c3…409f | Yes | 32,277 | 90.4¢ | $23.2K | New0 settled bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 21,800 | 89.1¢ | $15.7K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | Yes | 20,706 | 82.7¢ | $14.9K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 20,000 | 88.7¢ | $14.4K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 36,784 | 16.7¢ | $10.3K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 34,579 | 15.1¢ | $9.68K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 10,931 | 83.8¢ | $7.87K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | Yes | 10,750 | 85.7¢ | $7.74K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 9,379 | 75.0¢ | $6.75K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| doppio1v90x938a…cbcb | Yes | 9,240 | 82.1¢ | $6.65K | — |
| Paul9739730xa108…abd3 | Yes | 8,163 | 82.6¢ | $5.88K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 8,000 | 84.3¢ | $5.76K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 19,466 | 18.1¢ | $5.45K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| Tanjirooo0x7c9d…acff | Yes | 6,557 | 85.5¢ | $4.72K | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 6,471 | 82.1¢ | $4.66K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,695 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 6,419 | 85.5¢ | $4.62K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 6,192 | 80.4¢ | $4.46K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| HelloKitty3330xb528…5039 | Yes | 5,365 | 80.6¢ | $3.86K | — |
| 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e0xbf0f…28ce | No | 13,578 | 23.8¢ | $3.8K | — |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | Yes | 5,165 | 78.3¢ | $3.72K | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | 5,145 | 83.1¢ | $3.7K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 4,684 | 84.2¢ | $3.37K | — |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | Yes | 4,200 | 84.3¢ | $3.02K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| chivoexpiatorio0x73bb…9473 | No | 10,398 | 18.3¢ | $2.91K | — |
| StupidMonkeyyy0x67d6…245e | Yes | 3,998 | 82.1¢ | $2.88K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| 0x0cb2…1872 | No | 10,164 | 19.2¢ | $2.85K | — |
| 0x3244…f094 | Yes | 3,933 | 86.5¢ | $2.83K | — |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 10,000 | 15.2¢ | $2.8K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | 3,878 | 77.5¢ | $2.79K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| HornyBibi0x708d…ea78 | No | 9,962 | 17.0¢ | $2.79K | — |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | Yes | 3,706 | 78.8¢ | $2.67K | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| MPIL0xfc08…6be7 | No | 9,305 | 22.6¢ | $2.61K | New82 settled bets |
| 0xa5d8…ff3a | Yes | 3,559 | 85.8¢ | $2.56K | — |
| AlmostNoAwareness0x33b3…d03d | No | 9,063 | 11.4¢ | $2.54K | — |
| RoadtoAndrew0x84ff…78e3 | Yes | 3,470 | 80.2¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Hyrrrr0xf055…02b5 | No | 8,849 | 23.3¢ | $2.48K | — |
| takeormake0xa38a…821d | No | 8,329 | 29.4¢ | $2.33K | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 8,516 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 2,898 | 81.2¢ | $2.09K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | No | 7,045 | 14.0¢ | $1.97K | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | Yes | 2,500 | 92.9¢ | $1.8K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| 0xcc09…1442 | No | 6,154 | 31.8¢ | $1.72K | — |
| 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd40xd7ea…dd4e | Yes | 2,377 | 94.9¢ | $1.71K | — |
| roadto0pnl0x6277…d68a | No | 6,093 | 6.5¢ | $1.71K | — |
| Quarzo0x88ee…c234 | Yes | 2,297 | 75.5¢ | $1.65K | — |
| 0xde1d…ef49 | Yes | 2,204 | 91.1¢ | $1.59K | — |
| hypebot20x1a94…db1d | No | 5,400 | 21.3¢ | $1.51K | — |
| bb9990x2453…9fb2 | Yes | 2,032 | 83.4¢ | $1.46K | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 2,000 | 77.0¢ | $1.44K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 1,984 | 77.9¢ | $1.43K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 5,042 | 20.0¢ | $1.41K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| Shijiebeiii0xbb59…6ca3 | No | 5,040 | 19.9¢ | $1.41K | — |
| jajupe0xfec3…c3a0 | No | 5,020 | 19.5¢ | $1.41K | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 1,859 | 82.6¢ | $1.34K | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| Fulgurator0x0130…274c | No | 4,573 | 19.5¢ | $1.28K | New87 settled bets |
| santaclaws0x8ce9…ea32 | Yes | 1,740 | 80.6¢ | $1.25K | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,532 | 79.8¢ | $1.1K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 1,489 | 78.9¢ | $1.07K | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | Yes | 1,400 | 73.9¢ | $1.01K | — |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 3,496 | 19.2¢ | $979 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| kaparo0x3947…6c1e | Yes | 1,316 | 76.7¢ | $947 | — |
| 0x4756…a006 | No | 3,325 | 27.4¢ | $931 | — |
| thewherewithal0x01a9…cf40 | Yes | 1,180 | 83.6¢ | $850 | New30 settled bets |
| Frings1270x1cd0…4516 | Yes | 1,129 | 62.9¢ | $813 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | No | 2,894 | 18.0¢ | $810 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 1,124 | 84.0¢ | $809 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| 0x4745…1e6f | No | 2,858 | 21.4¢ | $800 | — |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | Yes | 1,110 | 91.1¢ | $799 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,956 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 1,001 | 81.6¢ | $721 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| HEBI550xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | 1,000 | 82.0¢ | $720 | — |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 1,000 | 81.5¢ | $720 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| Skepticc0x5734…fd4d | No | 2,450 | 15.5¢ | $686 | — |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | Yes | 924 | 95.9¢ | $666 | — |
| 0x6c16…d220 | No | 2,347 | 17.5¢ | $657 | — |
| gullytrader0x5e6b…574d | Yes | 912 | 77.5¢ | $656 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 900 | 87.1¢ | $648 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| rabbit0070xf2aa…21fb | Yes | 856 | 79.0¢ | $617 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 860 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 2,072 | 14.8¢ | $580 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| badkidsart0xc6c2…1b0d | No | 2,070 | 10.0¢ | $580 | — |
| theGodFather1010x6e73…a236 | No | 1,908 | 18.3¢ | $534 | — |
| probablynotthecase0x7d85…f8bf | No | 1,667 | 6.2¢ | $467 | — |
| 0x9c8e…2bb0 | No | 1,598 | 25.8¢ | $447 | — |
| 0xIhor0x15ce…b912 | No | 1,500 | 15.1¢ | $420 | — |
| finanzers0x98a5…c46e | No | 1,483 | 16.3¢ | $415 | — |
| 0xzitu0x0435…cf1d | No | 1,429 | 7.3¢ | $400 | Losing−$23.67 per $100 · 283 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 1,303 | 25.6¢ | $365 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 0x312d…6814 | No | 1,271 | 17.5¢ | $356 | — |
| juninho0540x18ac…5558 | No | 1,235 | 34.4¢ | $346 | — |
| unknownpineapple0xffd8…91c8 | No | 1,217 | 17.0¢ | $341 | — |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | No | 1,165 | 16.3¢ | $326 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 809 bets |
| okc350xccf3…8f27 | No | 1,150 | 10.1¢ | $322 | — |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 1,149 | 12.5¢ | $322 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 1,125 | 17.3¢ | $315 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| undertaker070xa7a3…7739 | No | 1,055 | 20.1¢ | $295 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 342 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | No | 1,005 | 20.0¢ | $281 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| dvc-sln0xc909…a22f | No | 1,000 | 35.0¢ | $280 | — |
| wallet-account-test0xcaff…e3ad | No | 1,000 | 16.8¢ | $280 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 1,000 | 16.0¢ | $280 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| profitmax0x0561…51c7 | No | 1,000 | 4.0¢ | $280 | Proven+$5.43 per $100 · 157 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 1,000 | 14.5¢ | $280 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| Avoc0xf40d…5a77 | No | 1,000 | 37.4¢ | $280 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.