Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 1,196 | 56.0¢ | $670 | Proven+$11.15 per $100 · 504 bets |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | Yes | 797 | 41.0¢ | $446 | Proven+$2.98 per $100 · 2,738 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 580 | 61.0¢ | $325 | — |
| 123pocky0x06b6…eba6 | Yes | 500 | 74.0¢ | $280 | Losing−$2.87 per $100 · 228 bets |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 456 | 49.5¢ | $256 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 421 | 50.2¢ | $185 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| ultra-poverty0x810f…57aa | Yes | 264 | 49.0¢ | $148 | Positive+$20.93 per $100 · 116 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | No | 285 | 39.8¢ | $126 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 208 | 2.9¢ | $116 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| Kvasir0x8ea3…52a1 | Yes | 201 | 71.8¢ | $112 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 190 | 45.0¢ | $84 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 139 | 64.2¢ | $78 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| jporras0x278e…42ec | Yes | 130 | 78.4¢ | $73 | — |
| from000xc1ab…68f2 | Yes | 128 | 78.7¢ | $72 | — |
| 0xf8fb…f213 | Yes | 122 | 82.2¢ | $68 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 112 | 66.8¢ | $63 | — |
| rocky420130xf971…0a57 | No | 136 | 52.0¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x941e…5823 | Yes | 105 | 74.9¢ | $59 | — |
| Sheehave0x84a6…29ce | Yes | 100 | 51.0¢ | $56 | Proven+$15.02 per $100 · 127 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 97 | 39.0¢ | $43 | — |
| bhaskargupta0xec7f…51e4 | Yes | 55 | 73.8¢ | $31 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 48 | 57.0¢ | $27 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 57 | 48.1¢ | $25 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| crop?0xe308…309c | No | 57 | 25.0¢ | $25 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 43 | 68.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,295 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 38 | 51.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 46 | 40.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,293 bets |
| geri-210x2fff…6acd | Yes | 36 | 70.8¢ | $20 | — |
| nzrod0xa5ce…2fa6 | No | 32 | 50.0¢ | $14 | — |
| TradingBear0xb567…1575 | No | 31 | 20.0¢ | $14 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 30 | 54.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| sanmos1110x8a57…0358 | Yes | 20 | 71.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Miguel2621440x2df5…51ac | No | 22 | 30.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 9,181 bets |
| KolmogorovDoob0xa61f…f609 | Yes | 16 | 62.9¢ | $9 | — |
| friendlyreward0x3901…9761 | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 20 | 17.0¢ | $9 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | No | 20 | 41.0¢ | $9 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 15 | 48.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 10 | 41.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| 0x1540…4ec9 | Yes | 9 | 67.9¢ | $5 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 8 | 46.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 47.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 10 | 29.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 43.0¢ | $4 | — |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | No | 10 | 43.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 46.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 10 | 44.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 10 | 43.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 44.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | No | 10 | 46.0¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 10 | 43.0¢ | $4 | — |
| crysler0x1a51…1d3d | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Leo20160x9892…81db | Yes | 7 | 73.8¢ | $4 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 8 | 39.0¢ | $4 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 8 | 32.2¢ | $3 | — |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | Yes | 6 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 5 | 61.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 2026Lucas0x8d18…6a53 | Yes | 5 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x799b…1613 | No | 6 | 16.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x95e8…81ef | Yes | 4 | 50.1¢ | $2 | — |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 4 | 84.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 4 | 27.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| palochka0x5fc6…9561 | Yes | 3 | 62.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 3 | 22.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 3 | 35.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 2 | 63.9¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | Yes | 2 | 72.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd5f2…0a09 | Yes | 2 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | No | 2 | 29.2¢ | $1 | — |
| tumenskiy0xf692…ce9b | Yes | 2 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | No | 2 | 22.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 2 | 39.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 32.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 1 | 31.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 34.9¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 31.8¢ | $0 | — |
| nanioto0x53b3…7f9a | No | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| boempie0xb678…299e | No | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x241F...e15a0x241f…e15a | Yes | 0 | 53.8¢ | $0 | — |
| wuasax20x4787…db20 | No | 0 | 27.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x73cf…5b01 | No | 0 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.