Market · 1 of 18 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 18 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb522…3ebb | Yes | 912 | 88.1¢ | $816 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 752 | 82.9¢ | $673 | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 655 | 86.3¢ | $586 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| 0xdc83…bcd2 | Yes | 634 | 91.3¢ | $567 | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 142 bets |
| qianyi20260x1cf1…6ca1 | Yes | 610 | 72.3¢ | $546 | — |
| Blurry-Ball0x4734…60b1 | Yes | 550 | 82.4¢ | $492 | — |
| 0x427b…26c1 | Yes | 246 | 84.5¢ | $220 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 202 | 75.9¢ | $181 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 188 | 89.0¢ | $168 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 100 | 88.0¢ | $90 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 80 | 88.0¢ | $72 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| larry-li0xf3d8…be6e | Yes | 74 | 83.3¢ | $66 | — |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 62 | 86.0¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x9178…a2b2 | No | 514 | 11.4¢ | $54 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 2,206 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 57 | 88.0¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 52 | 84.6¢ | $47 | — |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | Yes | 50 | 83.6¢ | $45 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 351 | 14.7¢ | $37 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| dadhalfdev0x5347…4fa3 | Yes | 37 | 81.8¢ | $33 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 33 | 3.1¢ | $30 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| Sheehave0x84a6…29ce | Yes | 24 | 83.6¢ | $22 | Proven+$15.02 per $100 · 127 bets |
| doctorno990x4e2d…4936 | Yes | 21 | 89.4¢ | $19 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 161 | 26.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xbfba…f650 | Yes | 17 | 78.7¢ | $15 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 128 | 16.5¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | Yes | 15 | 87.0¢ | $13 | New32 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 120 | 13.7¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| Ali.Suliman0xf5cb…76f1 | Yes | 13 | 79.7¢ | $11 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 103 | 14.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 11 | 74.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,106 bets |
| 0x1540…4ec9 | Yes | 11 | 82.6¢ | $10 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 11 | 89.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 80 | 18.7¢ | $8 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 78 | 14.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 8 | 82.6¢ | $7 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 71 | 9.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,047 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 69 | 10.7¢ | $7 | — |
| elliot.0xbca7…87f6 | Yes | 6 | 85.0¢ | $5 | — |
| aviax0x939a…824c | Yes | 6 | 87.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Png199820260x7e0f…708e | Yes | 6 | 89.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.22 per $100 · 690 bets |
| hackingthebettingmarkets0x78f3…9529 | Yes | 6 | 89.4¢ | $5 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | Yes | 5 | 84.5¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.47 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| dsabanin0x8bbe…1439 | Yes | 5 | 82.6¢ | $4 | — |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | Yes | 5 | 83.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 41 | 11.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | No | 40 | 31.0¢ | $4 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | No | 40 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 40 | 31.5¢ | $4 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 32 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| ksass0x740d…f262 | No | 25 | 24.7¢ | $3 | — |
| nyafuu0x6dd7…203f | Yes | 3 | 86.5¢ | $2 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 23 | 33.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| h54uihe9850xfaef…b0cf | Yes | 2 | 81.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | Yes | 2 | 89.4¢ | $2 | — |
| ruanjianan11880xec7e…23a0 | Yes | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | — |
| sha224ozhong6330x8175…c598 | Yes | 2 | 84.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x02d1…57b4 | Yes | 2 | 84.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 16 | 11.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0x0953…1106 | No | 16 | 18.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,627 bets |
| 0xd676…f8f0 | Yes | 2 | 91.3¢ | $2 | — |
| min2g8020xdc9a…86ac | Yes | 2 | 85.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x490c…99e2 | Yes | 2 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| qiulian2g6600x5a14…ad58 | Yes | 2 | 84.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 2 | 66.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$121.86 per $100 · 722 bets |
| 0x3b90…d4b6 | Yes | 1 | 84.5¢ | $1 | — |
| yu11wen7200xc4c5…89bd | Yes | 1 | 84.5¢ | $1 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 12 | 36.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 27.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | No | 10 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 10 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 10 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | No | 10 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 15.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 10 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 8 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mamofaker240x5e50…c665 | No | 6 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 6 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 5 | 24.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 5 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| pily0x399f…0e2f | No | 4 | 23.7¢ | $0 | New31 settled bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 4 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 1 | 9.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.