Market · 2 of 21 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xzipper0xe397…bfcb | Yes | 574 | 52.4¢ | $238 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 2,617 bets |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | Yes | 560 | 71.7¢ | $232 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | No | 220 | 47.5¢ | $129 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 177 | 54.0¢ | $104 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu0xc326…1db1 | Yes | 187 | 50.1¢ | $78 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 167 | 48.5¢ | $69 | Proven+$8.70 per $100 · 4,101 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 137 | 67.5¢ | $57 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 99 | 48.2¢ | $41 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 60 | 58.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 33.5¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,457 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | No | 36 | 55.0¢ | $21 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 40 | 50.0¢ | $17 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 28 | 43.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,078 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 47.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 21 | 63.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | Yes | 25 | 53.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 23 | 42.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 64.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Yes | 20 | 63.0¢ | $8 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 19 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,534 bets |
| ZealJob0xb79f…b196 | No | 14 | 51.0¢ | $8 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 11 | 32.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 11 | 46.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 61.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 7 | 18.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 10 | 52.0¢ | $4 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 8 | 53.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,183 bets |
| palochka0x5fc6…9561 | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 72.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xad6b…f50d | Yes | 3 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| no.84huayu0xebc2…64fa | Yes | 2 | 54.0¢ | $1 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 1 | 38.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 1 | 60.0¢ | $1 | — |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 1 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 1 | 78.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| thekleenex0x818c…a500 | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.01 per $100 · 106,178+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GirlOnFire0x7230…f3d0 | No | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SebW0xf2f2…d1f0 | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 0 | 72.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| napamen0x8494…814a | Yes | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 16 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.14M in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.