Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 40,033 | 75.4¢ | $31.4K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | Yes | 32,139 | 23.5¢ | $6.91K | New85 settled bets |
| 0xwordjnn0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | 9,278 | 26.0¢ | $1.99K | Losing−$4.39 per $100 · 685 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 1,250 | 79.8¢ | $981 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 1,041 | 72.8¢ | $817 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| yolkhead0xa148…f655 | No | 1,000 | 80.6¢ | $785 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 799 | 75.6¢ | $627 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | Yes | 2,867 | 20.3¢ | $616 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 914 bets |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 320 | 77.7¢ | $251 | — |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | No | 235 | 76.8¢ | $185 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 737 | 21.5¢ | $159 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 202 | 80.6¢ | $158 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | No | 200 | 78.0¢ | $157 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | No | 200 | 79.0¢ | $157 | — |
| from000xc1ab…68f2 | No | 100 | 80.6¢ | $79 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 89 | 76.7¢ | $70 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| rocky420030x2e62…b22e | Yes | 300 | 28.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 10,636 bets |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | Yes | 300 | 23.0¢ | $65 | — |
| arrpadex0xecfe…74e6 | No | 55 | 79.0¢ | $43 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 50 | 80.6¢ | $39 | — |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | No | 36 | 79.5¢ | $28 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 32 | 78.7¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| 0xdc5f…af3f | No | 32 | 80.1¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xa5ba…c545 | No | 21 | 77.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | No | 21 | 76.9¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 808 bets |
| 0x8138…4655 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| blissful00x2a75…7d66 | No | 18 | 77.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$3.16 per $100 · 528 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 53 | 22.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 40 | 22.4¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| Bank.of.America0xe461…9a34 | No | 11 | 76.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.73 per $100 · 678 bets |
| Alphax0xc781…59d7 | No | 10 | 78.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,638 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | Yes | 32 | 21.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 9 | 77.9¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| dm64um8hvquy0x5d81…360e | No | 8 | 76.3¢ | $6 | — |
| CFranc0x594f…8449 | No | 7 | 80.6¢ | $5 | — |
| arleclec0xecf2…a1c0 | No | 6 | 78.7¢ | $5 | — |
| wantbehappy0x56e8…a57c | No | 6 | 80.6¢ | $5 | — |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | No | 6 | 79.7¢ | $5 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 5 | 79.7¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| 0x6f43…a080 | No | 5 | 79.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe805…1b1b | Yes | 18 | 28.9¢ | $4 | — |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | Yes | 15 | 44.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $2 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 10 | 29.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Kaiachee10x4440…ecfa | No | 3 | 79.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.91 per $100 · 684 bets |
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | No | 2 | 80.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ninasimon0x655e…e0cc | Yes | 6 | 21.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | No | 1 | 80.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 1,748 bets |
| sadpersone0x8c11…1a93 | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Scoopdewhoop0x80c9…3347 | Yes | 4 | 37.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca08…c267 | Yes | 4 | 21.9¢ | $1 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 1 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 77.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| eggsando0xc243…5e94 | Yes | 0 | 21.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play