Market · 7 of 53 outcomes
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VorVZakone0xe4c9…6ef7 | Yes | 621,566 | 2.8¢ | $21.4K | — |
| bee0xe78f…8917 | Yes | 402,218 | 2.7¢ | $13.9K | — |
| thanks4playing0xaa6e…04fe | Yes | 188,617 | 3.4¢ | $6.51K | New9 settled bets |
| fsx450x133b…2f22 | Yes | 149,372 | 2.0¢ | $5.15K | Proven+$4.97 per $100 · 403 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 135,238 | 2.0¢ | $4.67K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 114,867 | 1.3¢ | $3.96K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 114,713 | 2.1¢ | $3.96K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| 0x8732…4f44 | Yes | 81,525 | 2.7¢ | $2.81K | — |
| Boey0x0539…70f9 | Yes | 81,019 | 2.7¢ | $2.8K | Positive+$20.65 per $100 · 454 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 70,074 | 0.7¢ | $2.42K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| xiamms0x1dfd…6247 | No | 2,392 | 97.9¢ | $2.31K | New8 settled bets |
| Atown360xcef4…6c83 | Yes | 62,409 | 2.8¢ | $2.15K | — |
| Breezy-Entrance0x5fc8…39ef | Yes | 50,000 | 2.6¢ | $1.72K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,893 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 48,650 | 2.6¢ | $1.68K | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 47,869 | 2.4¢ | $1.65K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| balloooooo0x153b…68dd | Yes | 44,889 | 2.6¢ | $1.55K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 353 bets |
| VdeVirtud0x05dd…e2af | Yes | 44,132 | 2.4¢ | $1.52K | Losing−$3.03 per $100 · 1,191 bets |
| Intendant-Jean-Talon0xe6a8…00c7 | Yes | 43,361 | 4.1¢ | $1.5K | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 42,571 | 2.2¢ | $1.47K | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| blumpcityyachtclub0xd35b…4a53 | Yes | 40,001 | 2.3¢ | $1.38K | — |
| 0xd965…d28c | Yes | 36,306 | 2.8¢ | $1.25K | — |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 31,349 | 0.4¢ | $1.08K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 30,032 | 3.0¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 25,523 | 2.4¢ | $881 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 746 bets |
| goombaysmash0xbf95…77bd | Yes | 22,505 | 2.2¢ | $776 | — |
| 0x7853…36d8 | No | 744 | 93.4¢ | $719 | Losing−$2.25 per $100 · 4,197 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 20,798 | 2.5¢ | $718 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 20,448 | 2.7¢ | $705 | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 20,373 | 1.3¢ | $703 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 20,000 | 3.9¢ | $690 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $663 | New41 settled bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 18,115 | 2.6¢ | $625 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| bbom0x7237…9a27 | Yes | 16,652 | 2.5¢ | $575 | New22 settled bets |
| Helloworld4520x4c2f…3794 | Yes | 16,581 | 2.8¢ | $572 | Losing−$10.10 per $100 · 161 bets |
| 0xe7d2…8766 | Yes | 15,988 | 4.4¢ | $552 | — |
| GoldenMesaTrace0xd662…5d1d | No | 548 | 97.0¢ | $529 | — |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 15,306 | 2.3¢ | $528 | New6 settled bets |
| HoldenBloodfeast0x8204…56ea | Yes | 15,000 | 2.3¢ | $518 | New92 settled bets |
| predictionalgorithm0x2764…9470 | Yes | 14,809 | 3.0¢ | $511 | New1 settled bet |
| CrescentVoyager0xace7…2509 | No | 500 | 96.9¢ | $483 | — |
| cnslzeweu0xce44…3002 | No | 493 | 97.2¢ | $476 | — |
| 5468570xd386…be55 | No | 444 | 50.0¢ | $429 | — |
| dreamingToBeAGuru0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | 12,179 | 2.4¢ | $420 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 11,808 | 0.8¢ | $407 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| dummyboy7210x027b…d550 | Yes | 11,146 | 3.0¢ | $385 | New0 settled bets |
| chunkmaker10x2145…f551 | Yes | 10,962 | 3.6¢ | $378 | New20 settled bets |
| WildFernVoyage0xcf35…d0c0 | No | 383 | 97.0¢ | $370 | — |
| 0xaaad…aa81 | Yes | 10,431 | 3.0¢ | $360 | New27 settled bets |
| ProfitPlease0xc42e…edbd | Yes | 10,208 | 3.2¢ | $352 | — |
| stu0x84b0…5bc8 | Yes | 10,000 | 2.4¢ | $345 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 113 bets |
| scrapbook0x414b…0d3f | Yes | 10,000 | 2.2¢ | $345 | Losing−$4.25 per $100 · 380 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $345 | — |
| patrickreiss0xcd3c…a801 | Yes | 10,000 | 2.8¢ | $345 | — |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 10,000 | 2.5¢ | $345 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | Yes | 10,000 | 2.2¢ | $345 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 8,383 | 3.3¢ | $289 | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 8,383 | 2.6¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0xnft8880x4316…adee | No | 245 | 98.1¢ | $236 | New26 settled bets |
| Scott25260x10c3…5e7b | No | 211 | 97.8¢ | $204 | New57 settled bets |
| fghjjkkk786r5e0x1553…535e | No | 154 | 97.4¢ | $149 | New32 settled bets |
| 0x1eb9…db3f | No | 133 | 97.2¢ | $129 | New23 settled bets |
| combo.bulgur0x5449…518e | No | 123 | 97.7¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 580 bets |
| fhgjhgi886rrt0x3995…5fac | No | 112 | 50.0¢ | $108 | New25 settled bets |
| lgttt0x5ee6…06e5 | No | 110 | 97.5¢ | $106 | New45 settled bets |
| DramaWitch0xbe47…22de | No | 110 | 97.3¢ | $106 | — |
| fer2h290xeb6b…6266 | No | 106 | 97.6¢ | $102 | — |
| Hawk385AI0x1087…8f8d | No | 102 | 96.8¢ | $98 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 120 bets |
| kristoe430x20e0…8416 | No | 100 | 97.7¢ | $97 | New17 settled bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 100 | 96.0¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| 0x153e…1a8b | No | 80 | 97.2¢ | $77 | New23 settled bets |
| HTYERD0x5fb3…0723 | No | 68 | 97.8¢ | $66 | New36 settled bets |
| shawncarter990xaf39…4e13 | No | 67 | 97.7¢ | $65 | — |
| toomanywifes0xf29b…ec44 | No | 58 | 97.7¢ | $56 | — |
| yariker0x2824…f40f | No | 57 | 96.5¢ | $55 | New36 settled bets |
| yuyuokjia0x5423…50a3 | No | 56 | 97.5¢ | $55 | Break-even−$0.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Funfzig0x5e9c…cd75 | No | 56 | 94.6¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 1,061 bets |
| mlevikarushak0xc3f2…a661 | No | 55 | 97.4¢ | $53 | — |
| mingtianhuigenghao0xe3b1…9a06 | No | 52 | 97.4¢ | $51 | — |
| Alla-h0x6236…4558 | No | 52 | 97.7¢ | $50 | New63 settled bets |
| Farshmak640x8199…3a57 | No | 50 | 97.2¢ | $48 | New7 settled bets |
| 12smartik0x21bb…03bf | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $48 | New13 settled bets |
| Sunat0x4d30…4456 | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $48 | New9 settled bets |
| Pendeho120x905e…32c8 | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $48 | — |
| Jumbaysimba0xaef2…6e2f | No | 50 | 97.6¢ | $48 | — |
16 accounts bet both sides equally · 4.47K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.