Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 35,775 | 0.1¢ | $54 | Positive+$39.23 per $100 · 1,745 bets |
| jumperq0x3443…6474 | No | 30 | 98.8¢ | $30 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 14,597 | 0.1¢ | $22 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,848 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,000 | 0.2¢ | $16 | Positive+$12.25 per $100 · 3,940 bets |
| Avotoast0xcddc…a8cf | Yes | 10,000 | 1.2¢ | $15 | — |
| tmleafs0x7a85…3c54 | Yes | 9,609 | 0.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,951 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 2,107 | 3.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.54 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,042 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,193 bets |
| vgdfr560x07bf…6adc | No | 3 | 98.8¢ | $3 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 1,943 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 1,297 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 1,279 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 874 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,080 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,355 bets |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.56 per $100 · 11,141 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 880 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 570 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 514 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 351 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| forwhat0x5810…8265 | Yes | 340 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9181…64ac | Yes | 328 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 310 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,404+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 300 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 296 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 286 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,180 bets |
| marketgravity0xae73…09fa | Yes | 250 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 197 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 140 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 9,382 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 127 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,976 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 125 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 113 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 90 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 69 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 47 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 36 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,699 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 25 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 6 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 5 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 2 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,279 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.12M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.