Market · 43 of 54 outcomes
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 623,886 | 0.6¢ | $312 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 332,344 | 0.1¢ | $166 | New65 settled bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 207,506 | 0.7¢ | $104 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $101 | New22 settled bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 158,000 | 0.1¢ | $79 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 126,449 | 0.8¢ | $63 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,257 bets |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 104,000 | 0.4¢ | $52 | — |
| telloier0x795b…623a | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 92,999 | 0.7¢ | $46 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 46,379 | 0.1¢ | $23 | Positive+$13.18 per $100 · 5,830 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 45,520 | 0.4¢ | $23 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 39,200 | 0.8¢ | $20 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 22,140 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 20,717 | 0.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 19,663 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 18,953 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,550 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 12,911 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| AshleyThomas1050xcb51…4e1e | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 10,930 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 8,700 | 0.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,814 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 7,050 | 0.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,555 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| PriscillaIvanov6340x273a…63ad | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.0¢ | $3 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,613 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 4,412 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 1sk0x06e8…4675 | Yes | 4,226 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,696 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 3,206 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 3,135 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| EliseMurphy6380x4fd4…a133 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 4eloveker0xc8ed…d236 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.