Market · 37 of 53 outcomes
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 1,646,341 | 0.2¢ | $2.47K | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| dimvpizzz0xfb4c…c2d5 | No | 1,060 | 99.9¢ | $1.06K | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 141,793 | 0.7¢ | $213 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,257 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 112,830 | 0.7¢ | $169 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 106,550 | 0.4¢ | $160 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 000088880x8948…28d5 | Yes | 102,000 | 0.1¢ | $153 | — |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $150 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.4¢ | $150 | — |
| singhmark0x4529…d20e | No | 148 | 99.9¢ | $148 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 93,080 | 0.8¢ | $140 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| teresacarter0x8dd2…af92 | No | 99 | 99.9¢ | $99 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 65,332 | 0.2¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 59,849 | 0.4¢ | $90 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| normawilliams0x0c46…582f | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| clarkegreg0xceb3…1dda | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| rachael590xa072…7d09 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 45,000 | 0.4¢ | $68 | — |
| ericharvey0x0fa7…51ab | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| tlowery0x7c54…8c52 | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 35,337 | 0.8¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Prexpect0xa59c…bb62 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.4¢ | $53 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 4,078 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 28,104 | 0.7¢ | $42 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.5¢ | $38 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 23,500 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 20,338 | 0.0¢ | $31 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 19,849 | 0.4¢ | $30 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.4¢ | $23 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,750 | 0.6¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,859 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 12,250 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,346 | 0.6¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 10,150 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| whatstheword0x2bbc…799f | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 7,500 | 0.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,814 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 7,110 | 0.5¢ | $11 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 6,130 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,001 | 0.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| JordanDaniels8140x757f…de32 | No | 9 | 99.9¢ | $9 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 5,500 | 0.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 2520x224b…f6b8 | Yes | 4,848 | 0.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 4,800 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 4,294 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 4,262 | 0.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| Annabelle17210xb56a…fa27 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| fireponbabylon0xa667…84fe | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.51 per $100 · 1,399 bets |
| sdggsdgshy0xa4bc…3201 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Peter89340x7d97…8a02 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 3,862 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| dodged-a-bullet0xc288…3480 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.97 per $100 · 1,683 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x6276…143f | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 442 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| nicolaspayet0x511d…cd55 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| labonnemethode0x6f1b…bca0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 20anniv0xec4d…9506 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.