Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 9 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 1,830 | 84.8¢ | $1.64K | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| wqujvj0x24fb…973e | No | 1,527 | 80.0¢ | $1.37K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 278 | 77.0¢ | $249 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 711 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 268 | 90.6¢ | $240 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| PMPD0x90c1…f6be | Yes | 2,045 | 15.2¢ | $215 | — |
| TheKinginYellow0x4ac9…cf1a | No | 203 | 78.7¢ | $181 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 1,446 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 200 | 85.0¢ | $179 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| 0xeae7…8e9e | No | 111 | 88.4¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x5201…34c3 | No | 100 | 89.0¢ | $90 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 3,628 bets |
| Bogdan.Whitelist0x7e8a…5f49 | Yes | 500 | 23.7¢ | $53 | — |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | No | 50 | 79.1¢ | $45 | — |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 350 | 11.4¢ | $37 | Proven+$60.62 per $100 · 199 bets |
| 0x96bf…403e | No | 40 | 85.0¢ | $36 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 317 | 10.0¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 300 | 17.0¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xe4a5…70a5 | No | 30 | 90.8¢ | $27 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 250 | 6.0¢ | $26 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0xf470…cbe1 | No | 28 | 89.7¢ | $25 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 118 | 6.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| 0x0306…a81e | Yes | 109 | 29.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xc20d…d8e1 | Yes | 97 | 32.0¢ | $10 | — |
| hehehy0x2b9d…fca6 | Yes | 87 | 23.7¢ | $9 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 85 | 17.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 69 | 9.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 8 | 77.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| Doorbells0x9963…eb90 | No | 6 | 90.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 46 | 18.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| MTugy0xc0f0…c3bc | Yes | 43 | 23.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | No | 5 | 94.2¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| kurapalli0x5108…22c3 | Yes | 32 | 22.7¢ | $3 | — |
| horsee0x8630…3709 | Yes | 30 | 40.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Aiden20060x6cb0…8fc5 | Yes | 25 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x89e5…6f7a | Yes | 22 | 23.7¢ | $2 | — |
| madbod770x973b…fa42 | Yes | 21 | 24.7¢ | $2 | — |
| d5fg2df4g0x0657…2b79 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| fgh1fg650x9882…1d24 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| rudoprime0xe49f…e66d | Yes | 20 | 33.0¢ | $2 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 19 | 6.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| leexef0xb623…6707 | Yes | 18 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| pogb0xc03f…249d | No | 2 | 67.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 0xb294…a90c | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 9 | 20.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa8e7…08a2 | No | 1 | 67.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x977c…a86f | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| jul19880x9b51…56fc | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| julia08090xff6c…8ee8 | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| vera22050x0b7b…92a8 | Yes | 4 | 23.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x34dc…d280 | Yes | 4 | 23.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ballid130xd140…2a6b | Yes | 4 | 23.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ver19610xec35…d3d9 | Yes | 4 | 23.7¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| g65hf165fg30xbc0e…3c0f | Yes | 3 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| KylianMbapu0x58ce…57c4 | Yes | 2 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | Yes | 1 | 34.3¢ | $0 | — |
| usrvillaciud0x21a5…9a18 | No | 0 | 78.7¢ | $0 | — |
| abunyee0x78b6…bc74 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0xbd1d…18d4 | No | 0 | 89.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x60f1…466a | Yes | 0 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sjdbd0xbf2e…52c7 | Yes | 0 | 37.0¢ | $0 | — |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | No | 0 | 64.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4540x7693…b95b | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
9 accounts bet both sides equally · 161 shares each side · Show
|
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 106 events · $6.1M in play