Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RewardsMafia0x3eed…cb2a | No | 16,479 | 69.8¢ | $13.3K | Losing−$7.88 per $100 · 238 bets |
| 0x5b07…de95 | No | 12,827 | 70.3¢ | $10.3K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 50,391 |
| 29.9¢ |
| $9.83K |
| Break-even−$0.04 per $100 · 373 bets |
| 0x1156…5eb4 | No | 3,601 | 64.0¢ | $2.9K | — |
| nukecoin-0xa6e6…d5b8 | No | 2,352 | 79.1¢ | $1.89K | — |
| 0x9053…0901 | No | 2,048 | 80.1¢ | $1.65K | — |