Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 2,120 | 48.9¢ | $1.28K | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | Yes | 2,916 | 68.6¢ | $1.15K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| A1VENGO0xc0df…9cf1 | No | 1,892 | 42.0¢ | $1.14K | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 1,889 | 45.9¢ | $1.14K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Madsolbro0x0e09…05bb | Yes | 2,417 | 66.2¢ | $955 | Losing−$5.70 per $100 · 124 bets |
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | No | 1,470 | 47.6¢ | $889 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |