Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 8,306 | 90.8¢ | $8.17K | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 304 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 5,000 | 98.7¢ | $4.92K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 4,233 | 81.3¢ | $4.16K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| 0x5b07…de95 | No | 2,860 | 83.1¢ | $2.81K | — |
| nukecoin-0xa6e6…d5b8 | No | 2,811 | 82.5¢ | $2.77K | — |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 2,808 | 86.0¢ | $2.76K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |