Market · 7 of 13 outcomes
Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 470 | 93.3¢ | $447 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,040 bets |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 300 | 95.2¢ | $285 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 180 | 84.5¢ | $171 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| qbug0xf939…aded | No | 50 | 93.0¢ | $48 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 38 | 90.9¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 419 | 5.6¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 21 | 82.6¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 121 | 7.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $5 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 80 | 16.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 76 | 8.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 70 | 10.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 49 | 6.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 15 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 14 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play