Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theitaliangoats0x217a…86db | No | 82 | 97.2¢ | $58 | New15 settled bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 75.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 80 | 21.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 79 | 25.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| tiromi0x0dfe…e95b | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.