Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 11,804 | 88.9¢ | $11.4K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| Mithrandiric0x99cb…f629 | No | 10,718 | 82.0¢ | $10.4K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 |
| No |
| 8,365 |
| 81.4¢ |
| $8.08K |
| Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 7,675 | 79.4¢ | $7.42K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 5,000 | 90.0¢ | $4.83K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 2,500 | 89.0¢ | $2.42K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |