Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheNobleSavage0xe6f3…2568 | No | 331 | 88.0¢ | $271 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 603 | 14.2¢ | $109 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| theitaliangoats0x217a…86db | No | 105 | 95.7¢ | $86 | New15 settled bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | No | 80 | 81.0¢ | $66 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 40 | 80.0¢ | $33 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 32 | 76.2¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.